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Nigeria to Become Africa’s Third-Largest Economy in 2026

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Nigeria Africa third-largest economy in 2026, IMF predicts growth from $285bn to $334bn amid reforms and rising oil production

The International Monetary Fund has projected that Nigeria will overtake Algeria to become Africa’s third-largest economy in 2026, driven by rising oil production, improved access to foreign exchange, and ongoing economic reforms.

Also read: Rotary Africa Celebrates Growth with Two Zones

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According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook released in October 2025, Nigeria’s gross domestic product grew to $285 billion in 2025, placing it fourth in Africa behind South Africa ($426 billion), Egypt ($349 billion), and Algeria ($288 billion).

The fund now anticipates Nigeria’s GDP will reach $334 billion in 2026, while Algeria’s is expected to fall to $284 billion.

IMF officials attribute the growth outlook to policy measures including the removal of petrol subsidies, reforms to the exchange rate system, and adjustments to government finances.

While inflation remains a challenge in the short term, the IMF expects these measures to sustain medium-term growth.

In January 2026, the IMF revised Nigeria’s economic growth forecast to 4.4 percent, up from an earlier estimate of 4.2 percent.

The World Bank has similarly increased its 2026 forecast to 4.4 percent, compared with 3.7 percent projected in June 2025.

Nigeria’s economic ranking has fluctuated in recent years due to currency devaluation, economic rebasing, and other continental challenges.

Also read: UNN to Establish International Centre for African and Taiwan Studies

Analysts say the projected rise reinforces the country’s status as a leading African economy and underscores the impact of structural reforms.

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Cement costs more in Nigeria than Kenya, Togo, FCCPC finds

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Cement price manipulation is under investigation by the FCCPC after a three-month study found Nigerian prices were high despite surplus capacity

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Heirs Life Names Pastor Jerry Eze Independent Non-Executive Director

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Heirs Life appoints Jerry Eze as an Independent Non-Executive Director to strengthen financial inclusion, consumer trust and insurance adoption (more…)

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Shoreline Group secures US$200 million Afreximbank Facility

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Shoreline Group today announced that African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has approved a US$200 million facility in favour of Shoreline Power Company Limited and co-borrowers including Arkad S.p.A., Shoreline’s majority-owned engineering and construction platform.
Approved in June 2026, the facility was arranged and provided by Afreximbank as sole mandated lead arranger and lender. It provides bonding and working-capital capacity for Arkad’s delivery of the Hassi Bir Rekaiz project and supports Shoreline and its affiliates in developing further pipeline and infrastructure
projects in Nigeria and other permitted jurisdictions.
“This is a defining transaction for Shoreline and Arkad. We built Arkad as an African- sponsored engineering platform capable of competing at the highest level, and it is now delivering against a billion-dollar energy contract. Afreximbank’s US$200 million commitment gives the platform the financial strength to match its engineering capability and pursue further major infrastructure mandates. It demonstrates that African enterprises can assemble the capital, capability and partnerships required to compete for infrastructure at international scale.”
Hassi Bir Rekaiz Phase 2a Arkad holds 44 per cent of the approximately US$1 billion EPCCS-1 contract awarded by Groupement
Hassi Bir Rekaiz (GHBR) to an unincorporated consortium led by Egypt’s Petrojet, which holds 56 percent. EPCCS-1 covers engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning and start-up for the Phase 2a central processing facility and related infrastructure at the Hassi Bir Rekaiz field in Algeria’s Berkine
Basin.
GHBR is the joint operating entity for the licence, held by Sonatrach with 51 per cent and Thailand’s PTTEP with 49 per cent. The project includes a new crude oil processing facility with capacity of 31,500 barrels per day, facilities for associated gas and produced-water treatment, approximately 217 kilometres
of pipelines and the brownfield modifications required to integrate existing Phase 1 infrastructure.
The facilities are designed to support later expansion to 63,000 barrels per day under Phase 2b.
“This financing addresses the instruments that determine whether an EPC contractor can execute at scale: performance guarantees, advance payment guarantees and working capital through the project cycle. Hassi Bir Rekaiz is a demanding scope, combining a new central processing facility, associated treatment systems, pipelines and brownfield integration. With Petrojet, and with the support of Shoreline and Afreximbank, Arkad is focused on disciplined delivery against the project’s safety, quality and schedule requirements.”
The transaction was structured under Afreximbank’s Engineering, Procurement and Construction Initiative, which supports African engineering and construction firms with the financial instruments required to compete for and execute large infrastructure contracts. Afreximbank also supported the Arkad-Petrojet partnership through its EPC twinning work at the Intra-African Trade Fair held in Algiers
in 2025.
According to Afreximbank, the transaction is its first support for a Sub-Saharan African contractor undertaking a major infrastructure project in North Africa. For Shoreline, it demonstrates a practical model for combining African ownership and capital with established international engineering andindustrial capability.

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