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Fraudulent elections: In whose interest?

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Tinubu

Nigerian electronic voting debate intensifies as analyst argues technology cannot guarantee free and fair elections without moral reform

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“Men at some times are masters of their fates: The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars, but in ourselves that we are underlings… ” – Cassius to Brutus in William Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar.

Also read: Dino Melaye Alleges Senate Plot to Rig 2027 Elections

I dare to say that it is not the absence of laws that has denied Nigeria free and fair elections. We have a surfeit of laws that should have guaranteed that we always have credible elections.

In other words, the fault is not in the absence of laws – or the inadequacy of laws – it is in us the people that implement the laws.

The fault, dear compatriots, is not in our laws but in ourselves that we have been unable to organise free and fair elections!

What have we not tried? Cardreaders gulped billions of Naira, but it failed us, and we discarded them.

Perhaps, it is better to say we were the ones that failed card-readers! What works fantastically well in other places fails woefully here.

The fault is not in the system or technology – it is us, its users and manipulators. Billions of Naira went down the drains with the card readers.

We shifted to BVAS. Billions of Naira again went into its procurement.

We were told, just as we had been told with card-readers – that BVAS was the magic wand that would give us credible elections.

Again, BVAS failed us! Or, better still, we failed BVAS – just like we failed its elder brother called card-readers. Billions of Naira again went down the drains.

Lest I forget, there was iRev! Did it work here?

Now we are being told that
electronically-transmitted election results are the panacea to election irregularities in this country.

Once elections are electronically-transmitted, Eureka! This is another lie from the pit of hell!

Will election results electronically transmit themselves or it is human beings that will still transmit the results? Will electronic gadgets operate by themselves or will people still operate them? Are we going to manufacture or mint new and fresh people to man the gadgets or the same Nigerians that you and I know too well are those that will still man and operate the gadgets? Are we, like the Dangote refinery, going to India to import people who will man the electronic gadgets and manage our elections for us?

We are adept at telling ourselves lies, like the proverbial ostrich that hides only its head in the sand while its rump remains exposed.

We run away from our problems and chase shadows. No amount of gadgets will give us free and fair elections. We will only end up wasting billions of Naira again.

Every election cycle, some people smile their way to the bank while Nigerians eager to have free and fair elections gnash their teeth and bemoan their circumstance.

No gadgets will deliver credible elections to Nigerians.

Only Nigerians can deliver credible elections unto themselves. Unfortunately, Nigerians, as I perceive them today, are not wired to deliver credible elections to themselves.

The protests and placard-carrying by those yelling for electronically-transmitted election results are mere roadshows and election campaign gambits.

It is just another charade of those who leave the substance to chase shadows. If and after the 2027 elections are transmitted electronically and nothing has changed, you will say I said so!

Is it not Nigeria? This same Nigeria that we all know like the back of our hands? The integrity of elections – or the absence of it – is directly proportional to the integrity or absence of it in many stakeholders involved in the electoral process.

Electoral laws, important as they are, are not the only factors responsible for, or contributing to the success of elections. Equally important – in fact, more important – are the roles played and the actions taken by politicians, the voters themselves, the election umpire, the security agencies, and, wait for it, the judges who adjudicate in election disputes.

For instance, can electronically-transmitted election results prevent judges from entering the same kind of judgment they delivered in Kogi state (involving Yahaya Bello) or in Imo state (involving Hope Uzodinma)?

Like a woman lacking in good character who bemoans what she describes as her ill-luck in choosing a good husband, Nigerians, having lost all morals, complain about the inadequacy of laws! Yet, the best election ever conducted in this country was the simplest – and, possibly, the cheapest!

The Option A4 that produced the June 12, 1993 presidential election between MKO Abiola and Bashir Tofa was conducted with voters simply queuing in front of the poster of their preferred candidate.

And Nigerians as well as the international community agreed that the election was not only free and fair – and the freest and fairest ever in Nigeria – but also credible by all international standards.

No card readers. No BVAS. No iRev. No electronically-transmitted results.

The simplicity of that election must have saved the country billions of Naira.

That election ought to have taught us useful lessons.

Nigerians generally were tired of ruinous military rule and desperately wanted an escape route out of it.

A return to democracy, civil or civilian rule was seen as the most viable option.

But 26/27 years down the road, have the civilians creditably discharged themselves? If a referendum or opinion poll is conducted today, will you be surprised if a large number of Nigerians are despondent about civilian rule?

MKO Abiola had a message, which resonated with the people.

Farewell to poverty! And his roadmap to achieving it at the earliest possible time – he gave himself six months in the first instance – appeared credible to the people.

Since 1999, what can anyone point at as the message of our successive leaders that has fired the imagination and stoked the nationalistic fervour of the people?

Abiola’s larger-than-life personality was also something else. He nearly won a pan-Nigeria mandate; only in the south-east did he badly trail his opponent.

Governmental failure since 1999 has led to political apathy, such that a preponderance of Nigerians do not care whether there are elections or not – not to talk of them being free and fair! With the weaponization of poverty, many of those who still go out to vote do so to collect the peanuts that politicians dole out to buy votes.

Now, will electronically-transmitted results stop vote-selling and vote-buying? Will electronically-transmitted results ensure internal democracy in the political parties? Will electronically-transmitted results put an end to the godfather/godson syndrome, the like of which has made Rivers state ungovernable in the past few years?

Before anyone will say that I am against electronically-transmitted election results, let me say categorically that I am not! What I am only saying is that, that, in itself, will not deliver credible or guarantee free and fair elections.

The problems bedevilling credible elections here precede the actual casting, counting, recording of votes and announcement of election results.

Most, if not all, of the political parties lack internal democracy. So, godfathers, instead of party members, decide who stands for election.

From that very foundation, free choice is impaired.

The best candidates are seldom presented to the electorate. Whatever choice made afterwards by the voters is, therefore, stunted right from the word “go.”

And whether or not we electronically-transmit results, voters do not have the last say on election matters. The courts and judges do!

In a 1787 letter, Thomas Jefferson, the 3rd president of the United States of America, was quoted as saying: “Were it left to me to decide whether we should have a government without newspapers or newspapers without a government, I should not hesitate a moment to prefer the latter.”

While we can interpret that statement to mean a strong advocacy for freedom of speech – and it sure is – I can also recoin it thus: Were I to choose between an electoral process full of morals without laws and that full of laws without morals, I will not hesitate a moment to choose the former.

On a trip to Germany in 1994 at the invitation of the German government, my guide, a university professor, told me the percentage of Germans who would willingly do the right thing without anyone compelling them was between 85 and 87 percent.

Yet, she said they were still trying to do some catching up with the Scandinavian countries where the same percentage hovered around 97 percent.

Whaaoh! She waited for me to catch my breath before adding that the vagrant 3 percent was usually accounted for largely by immigrants! Racism? Not quite! Reality that we are well familiar with!

Elections run seamlessly in some countries. Not the bloody battles that we witness here. And at a fraction of the humongous costs we incur here. But what should anyone expect?

Terrorism and banditry, kidnapping and ransom-taking, criminal activities and politics are the most lucrative businesses around here these days. There is no consequence for bad behaviour.

Everyone wants quick and easy money.

The prayers that receive the loudest “Amen” or “Amin” in places of worship are those that decree little work but big rewards!

Be those in power or the ones angling to replace them, what kind of examples are we giving the younger generations with the kind of leaders we parade?

Clean elections cannot but be a rarity in climes such as ours whether or not we electronically transmit more than election results!

Also read: Ajadi Opposes 2026 Elections Proposal as Disruptive

Interestingly, it is, ultimately, a lose-lose situation for both the beneficiaries of fraudulent elections and its victims!

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Collapse After a Landslide: Starmer’s Fall May Not be The Last

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Starmer

By Azu Ishiekwene

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It was painful to watch him outside No.10 on Monday. Despite his immaculate suit and well-groomed hair, British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer looked like he was facing a public execution.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal Signs Landmark Education Reform Orders, Rolls Out National Curriculum in Schools

The bespoke podium, which had been in use since David Cameron’s tenure, looked more like a stake, and Starmer’s valedictory like a miserere before the bullets would be discharged.

The carnage that British politics has become has just claimed its sixth prime minister in a decade. Britain is not doing as badly as Italy – yet – which had 50 governments and 15 prime ministers between 1946 and 1994, but at the current rate, it’s not doing badly at becoming Europe’s next Britaly, as The Economist once described it.

Which is all difficult to understand, given that for the two-and-a-half years of his premiership, Starmer never failed to remind voters that he came to power in one of the largest electoral landslides in recent British history.

Not entirely untrue. Labour won 411 of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, a majority of 174 seats over all other parties combined. Starmer’s Labour was the largest party in England, Scotland and Wales, and the first government since 2010 to end 14 years of Conservative rule.

Landslide, backslide

So, what happened? Boris Johnson, who had a chaotic and scandal-ridden premiership, has suggested that Starmer won because the Conservatives collapsed rather than due to voter enthusiasm for Labour.

He told Sky News that Starmer lost because he was a stumbling block who stood in the way instead of providing vision and leadership, virtues that I’m not sure Johnson would recognise, even in plain sight.

He was being half-clear. He conveniently forgot that his wrong-headed decision to remove Britain from the European Union is part of the price his successors, including Starmer, have had to pay. Starmer’s successor, Andy Burnham, will also be paying for it.

A study by researchers affiliated with institutions including the National Bureau of Economic Research and the Bank of England estimated that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by between six and eight per cent relative to a non-Brexit scenario.

Business investment was down nearly 18 per cent, while productivity and employment also went down.

Post-Brexit, the British economy has been fragile, and the cost-of-living crisis has taken a toll on the middle class and pensioners. Young British adults are poorer than their parents were.

Complications, complications

Yet, none of this should have come as a surprise to Starmer. He knew that the economy was fragile, that the cost of living was rising, and public services were stretched when he campaigned to provide economic stability, fiscal discipline and a competent government.

When he positioned himself as everything to everyone, that strategic ambivalence helped him to win; it couldn’t keep him in power.

He not only knew the mess that Brexit had left the country in, but he also knew that the country was yet to fully recover from the COVID-19 supply chain disruptions and massive payouts, which added billions of pounds to the national debt, apart from the losses to fraud, estimated by a Reuters report at £10.9 billion.

The US-Israel war on Iran has piled on the chaotic fallouts of the Russia-Ukraine war, raising food prices and energy costs around the world and forcing many UK households to deal with levels of inflation that they had not experienced for years.

Every UK prime minister after Johnson – from Liz Truss to Rishi Sunak and Starmer – has had to contend with the economic legacy of three successive shocks: Brexit, the pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and now, the Middle East crisis.

Politics, poetry and prose

Yet, when politicians campaign, their poetry distorts our common sense, and we’re seduced by the hope that perhaps, just perhaps, it might be different this time.

But Starmer knew there was not much he could do. When he said before the election that Labour would not increase taxes, for example, he knew he would not find the money to plug the hole. So, he was forced to make a U-turn.

When he promised welfare reforms and fiscal discipline, he knew he was speaking with both sides of his mouth. But that was what his voters, especially his base and the campaign groups, wanted to hear.

And when he promised a clean, competent government – a departure from the sleaze years – Peter Mandelson was smiling, waiting to snooker him. The outcome was a shambles for the government’s reputation.

And when Starmer was boasting about a landslide, he knew that the result of the election that brought him to power was more nuanced. It was a victory by default.

While Tony Blair, for example, won 43.2 per cent of the popular vote share in 1997, Starmer won only 33.7 per cent, reflecting a far narrower popular mandate than he cared to admit publicly.

According to a YouGov Poll, among the people who voted Labour in 2024 and then participated in the 2026 local elections, only 46 per cent remained with Labour.

About 22 per cent moved to the Greens, 16 per cent to the Liberal Democrats, while 6 per cent moved to Reform UK.

With a drastic decline in public trust of politicians and public institutions, it’s not surprising that Starmer’s landslide fizzled before he could fully milk it.

The palace coup that forced out the Prime Minister was not because Labour MPs loved him less, but because they love themselves more.

Wheeling in Burnham from the shadows to No.10 was a move by the Backbenchers to buy time and fend off the lunacy of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK Party.

Talking big

Burnham has started by announcing big, obviously more left-wing Labour policies, from removing VAT on domestic electricity bills for six months to restoring the £2 cap on single bus fares across England, and from expanded housebuilding to greater public investment outside London.

He has also talked about increasing defence spending, while whispers of “nationalisation” have even been heard.

But it won’t be long before he might stumble on the question that has snagged his six predecessors: where will the money come from? Once upon a United Kingdom, when the country was at the peak of its powers, it controlled nearly 20 per cent of the world’s manufacturing output, which, of course, was after it robbed India, among others, of its pre-industrial manufacturing dominance and converted it into a primary producing country.

At the height of Britain’s influence, one-quarter of the earth’s surface was its farmland. Those days are gone.

Copying Italy?

The world has changed since Britannia ruled the waves. While Britain remains one of the world’s leading economies, its current sunset phase has taken a heavy toll on its prosperity.

Strong alignment with NATO and the European Community, which later became the EU, helped Italy navigate its turbulent years. Unfortunately, Britain chose to leave the EU when it needed it most.

The last thing the country needs is a premier who sells hope at a high price. Burnham positioned himself as a beacon for his stranded Labour Party.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal Signs Landmark Education Reform Orders, Rolls Out National Curriculum in Schools

Yet his record in Manchester urges caution. Already, he is making expensive, even extravagant promises that may come back to bite him. At this rate, he may well not be the last prime minister before the general election in 2029.

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Facebook vs ARCON: Presidential Aide O’tega Ogra Got It Wrong And Should Not Drag Presidency Into Murky Waters

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By Ewa Izuchukwu

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It was barely weeks after my honest review that raised questions about Justice Bogoro’s judgment setting aside ARCON’s ₦60 billion notice against Facebook Nigeria, when I got a rejoinder from a surprising and an unexpected source.

Also read: Facebook Nigeria vs ARCON’s judgment: Not about fine but consumer protection at risk of vulnerability

It’s not from Facebook Nigeria, not from Meta’s regional or global policy office, but from our own O’tega Ogra, the Senior Special Assistant to the President on Digital Communications, Engagement and New Media Strategy. His piece, “The Facebook Nigeria Judgment Is Not a Defeat for Consumers. It Is a Victory for the Rule of Law,” summarily argues that the ruling strengthens institutional discipline rather than weaken consumer protection.

Ordinarily, public debate is healthy. Counter-arguments strengthen democratic discourse. But before engaging the substance of Ogra’s arguments, there is an important question that deserve serious considerations, answers: why has a presidential aide become the most visible public defender of a judgment obtained by Meta when the company itself has chosen silence?

Ogra’s writer profile at the end of the rejoinder discloses that he is also Vice President of the Association of Advertisers in Nigeria (ADVAN) and a member of the governing council of the World Federation of Advertisers.

Those are legitimate affiliations. But again, is he speaking as the President’s communications adviser? As an ADVAN executive? Or simply as a private citizen exercising his right to free expression?

The distinction matters because each role carries different responsibilities. When a senior presidential spokesman publicly champions a position that substantially aligns with the interests of a multinational technology company in litigation against a regulatory agency, perceptions matter as much as intentions.

Whatever he intended, the impression created is that the Presidency through its Ogra its spokesman has entered a dispute against a federal government agency. That is an impression no presidential aide should willingly create.

Interestingly, while ADVAN has maintained its longstanding disagreements with ARCON over ongoing advertising industry reforms, its President, Osamede Uwubanmwen, and its Board of Trustees Chairman, Aare Fatai Odeshile have appeared to be relatively restrained in publicly prosecuting this latest chapter of that disagreement. Instead, Ogra has emerged as the new ADVAN spokesman on industry matters.

Whether by design or circumstance, he now appears to be carrying the public argument that others within the association have largely avoided. That should concern him.

A presidential spokesman should be careful not to blur the distinction between public office and negative industry issues, particularly on matters where government itself has a direct stake through one of its regulatory agency.

The Office of the President should not be perceived as attacking a regulatory agency in the media or championing foreign interests ahead of national and consumer interests.

Is this really something to celebrate?

Setting personalities and motives aside and examining Ogra’s main claim, the court did not shield Meta from the law, only that ARCON failed to prove Facebook Nigeria’s relationship to Meta with admissible evidence rather than commercial assumption. But look at what proving that relationship “properly” actually requires in practice.

In the earlier related Abuja suit FHC/ABJ/CS/1701/2022, filed in September 2022, ARCON had gone the route Ogra says the law demands. It sued Meta Platforms Incorporated directly, and on 30 March 2023 the court granted leave to issue and serve the originating summons on Meta in the United States!

If that is what “doing it properly” looks like, then the rule of law Ogra is celebrating is one that only a well-resourced regulator, or a well-resourced litigant, can actually afford to invoke.

An ordinary Nigerian consumer deceived through advertising on Facebook cannot realistically litigate against Meta in California or Delaware. So while lawyers may applaud procedural purity, consumers are left asking a simpler question: who protects us?

Consumer protection is not exclusive to one regulator

It is disappointing that as a senior presidential aide, Ogra does not know that all government agencies have overlapping functions and all government regulatory agencies have consumer protection as their primary mandate, and that is why he would argue that ARCON is not Nigeria’s consumer protection regulator and that this responsibility belongs to the Federal Competition and Consumer Protection Commission (FCCPC).

Government agencies routinely enforce laws within their respective sectors where consumer welfare is implicated. NAFDAC prosecutes misleading advertisements relating to regulated products.

The Central Bank intervenes where financial promotions breach banking regulations. The Securities and Exchange Commission acts against unlawful investment promotions.

The Nigerian Communications Commission protects telecommunications subscribers. None of these agencies declines responsibility simply because the FCCPC also has consumer protection powers.

In fact, quite recently, the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA) recently secured the conviction of a social media content creator for promoting cannabis online.

The court sentenced him to seven years’ imprisonment after finding him guilty under the NDLEA Act for using social media to advertise cannabis products.

The NDLEA did not conclude that because the offending conduct involved advertising, it should wait for ARCON to act. Nor did it argue that advertising regulation fell exclusively within another regulator’s jurisdiction.

It acted because the offence touched directly on its statutory mandate. That is how sectoral regulation works. Government agencies exercise powers within their enabling laws, even where those powers intersect with advertising, consumer welfare or public safety.

The evidentiary bar Ogra defends is not the one Nigerian courts actually apply

Ogra insists that “commercial reality and legal proof are not always the same thing,” and that courts cannot repair a regulator’s evidentiary gaps. That would be a stronger argument if our courts had, in fact, been applying that standard consistently. They have not.

In January, a Lagos High Court in Femi Falana, SAN v. Meta Platforms Inc. held Meta liable as a joint data controller for content on Facebook without requiring Falana to first construct an elaborate paper trail proving Meta’s ownership and control of the platform; the relationship was treated as established fact, because it plainly is.

The Competition and Consumer Protection Tribunal reached a $220 million judgment against “Meta Platforms Incorporated (Facebook) and WhatsApp LLC” jointly on the same basis.

Our law also already possesses a doctrine built for exactly this situation, which is piercing the corporate veil, applied by the Supreme Court in Marina Nominees Ltd v. Federal Board of Inland Revenue to look behind a company shown to be acting as another’s agent, and invoked whenever, per Oyebanji v. State, a corporate form is used to dupe or evade.

None of these courts demanded that a claimant first litigate Meta’s corporate structure from scratch. Only Justice Bogoro’s court did. If Otegra’s “rule of law” means anything, it should mean consistency… the same platform, the same country, should not be a proven data controller in one courtroom and a legal stranger to its own product in another.

As referenced in my earlier piece, Nigeria is not the first place Meta has reached for corporate separateness as a shield, and Ogra’s “burden of proof” framing collapses when set against how other courts have treated the identical argument.

In Kenya, Meta spent years insisting it could not be held responsible for Facebook content moderators because they were technically employed by an outsourcing contractor, Sama; Kenya’s employment court rejected that, and the Court of Appeal upheld the rejection, holding that Meta was the real employer because the moderators did Meta’s work under Meta’s control.

In Australia, Facebook Inc argued in litigation brought by the country’s privacy regulator that only its Irish affiliate, not Facebook Inc itself, conducted business in Australia; the Full Federal Court rejected that, and separately refused Facebook Inc’s own attempt to escape service of the very kind of cross-border process Ogra treats as an unavoidable technicality here.

Ireland’s Data Protection Commission, dealing with the very corporate architecture Meta uses to route around accountability, fined the Irish subsidiary itself €1.2 billion rather than accepting that the structure shielded anyone.

In each of these markets, courts and regulators found a way to hold the platform to account without first demanding a documentary trail that, in practice, only Meta’s own internal filings could ever fully. Indeed, Nigeria’s outcome is the outlier, not the norm.

Mr. Ogra ends his article by urging ADVAN to help foster reconciliation between advertisers and regulators.

That would have been commendable had ADVAN not spent years engaged in legal confrontation with ARCON over issues bordering on regulatory authority.

Let me stop here by emphasizing that the larger issue is no longer whether the presidential aide is entitled to his opinion. Every Nigerian enjoys that right.

The real issue is whether he should be the one leading what increasingly appears to be an industry campaign against a statutory agency of the same Federal Government he has been appointed to serve.

If Mr. Ogra wishes to be the public face of ADVAN’s long-running disagreements with ARCON, that is entirely his prerogative. But public office comes with obligations that demand restraint, neutrality and an acute awareness of perception.

The Office of the President should never be seen, rightly or wrongly, as taking sides in a dispute involving one of its own regulatory agencies and a multinational corporation.

That is why Mr. Ogra should reflect carefully on the implications of his intervention. If he believes so strongly in ADVAN’s cause that he intends to become one of its principal public advocates in its continuing contest with ARCON, then the honourable course would be to first relinquish his role as Senior Special Assistant to the President.

He cannot effectively wear the hat of a presidential spokesman while simultaneously projecting himself as a leading voice in a battle that pits an industry association against an agency of the Federal Government.

This is more so as every response directed at him in this matter inevitably risks being interpreted as a response to the Presidency itself.

That serves neither President Bola Tinubu, whose office ought to remain above such industry disputes, nor the integrity of government institutions.

Also read: Facebook Nigeria vs ARCON’s judgment: Not about fine but consumer protection at risk of vulnerability

Public confidence is not strengthened when a presidential aide appears to be publicly undermining one regulator while defending the legal victory of a private multinational company.

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Wole Soyinka at 92: Nigeria’s literary titan, Africa’s conscience and global intellectual powerhouse

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Wole Soyinka

By Ehi Braimah

There are writers, there are intellectuals, and there are moral giants whose influence transcends literature to shape the conscience of nations.

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