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Power, Memory and Ambition: Inside Abiodun’s Senate Gamble

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A political dispute emerges in Ogun East over competing accounts of the 2023 Senate election and rising tensions ahead of 2027

By Victor Ojelabi

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In Ogun politics, memory is often short and ambition is rarely patient. That is why the recent video of Dapo Abiodun, making an emotional case for his Senate ambition, has stirred more than just sympathy. It has reopened old arguments, revived buried tensions, and forced a closer look at the truth behind the 2023 Ogun East senatorial contest.

Also read: Lagos Lawmakers Back Tinubu Second Term, Appoint Clerk

The governor, nearing the end of his tenure, appears eager to transition smoothly into the National Assembly. In the now-circulating clip, he presents himself as a key architect of the emergence of Gbenga Daniel as senator in 2023. It is a claim that, on the surface, suggests loyalty rewarded and political generosity extended.

But politics in Ogun East is rarely that simple.

For many observers, the tone of the governor’s appeal raises eyebrows. This is a man long perceived as firm, even forceful in the exercise of power.

Seeing him adopt a softer, almost pleading posture has struck some as a sharp contrast to the image he cultivated while in office.

It is this contrast that has fuelled questions about whether the narrative being pushed is one of convenience rather than fact.

At the centre of the debate is a straightforward question: did Dapo Abiodun truly play a decisive role in Gbenga Daniel’s path to the Senate?

The historical record suggests otherwise.

The journey that brought Gbenga Daniel back into frontline politics was neither accidental nor dependent on gubernatorial backing.

After serving two terms as governor between 2003 and 2011, Daniel had stepped back from partisan contests.

His return was gradual, strategic, and anchored on structures he had built over years. By the time he formally joined the All Progressives Congress in 2021, he was not a political novice seeking endorsement but a seasoned actor reactivating an existing network.

Across Ogun East, his influence remained intact. From Remo to Ijebu divisions, his grassroots connections and loyalty base placed him ahead of most aspirants even before the primaries began.

What followed in 2022 was less a coronation and more a contest of influence.

Within the APC, factions had already taken shape. On one side were loyalists of the sitting governor. On the other were remnants of the camp aligned with Ibikunle Amosun.

Daniel, though newly integrated into the party, operated largely outside these traditional blocs, relying instead on his independent political machinery.

Accounts from that period showed that Governor Abiodun was not in support of Daniel’s Senate ambition.

Party structures under his influence were reportedly directed to withhold backing. There were also administrative pressure on individuals seen to be aligning with Daniel’s campaign.

Yet, despite these headwinds, Daniel’s campaign gathered momentum.

The primary election, held in Ijebu Ode, was already tilting in his favour as delegates cast their votes. Early indications showed a clear lead. It was at this critical juncture that a different kind of power entered the equation.

Oba Sikiru Adetona, one of the most influential traditional rulers in the region, stepped in.

His intervention reshaped the outcome in a way that political manoeuvring alone could not have achieved. Through his mediation, the then incumbent senator, Olalekan Mustapha, agreed to step down.

With that decision, the field effectively cleared.

The numbers that followed reflected what had already become evident. Daniel secured an overwhelming majority of delegate votes, leaving little doubt about his dominance in the race.

What could have been a prolonged intra-party struggle was resolved swiftly, not through executive backing, but through a combination of grassroots strength and traditional influence.

By the time the general election arrived in 2023, the momentum was firmly on his side. Victory at the polls only confirmed what the primaries had already demonstrated.

This sequence of events complicates the narrative now being advanced.

If anything, it highlights the limits of gubernatorial control in a political environment where history, loyalty, and cultural institutions still carry weight.

It also underscores the enduring relevance of traditional authorities in the South West, particularly in places like Ijebuland, where their word can recalibrate political equations overnight.

None of this diminishes the reality that alliances in politics are fluid.

Otunba Daniel himself had, at an earlier point, supported Abiodun’s governorship bid, contributing to a narrow electoral victory.

But support in one cycle does not automatically translate into control in another.

Today, as the contest for Ogun East ahead of 2027 begins to take shape, the lines are once again being drawn.

The relationship between the two men has clearly evolved from cooperation to competition.

What the current moment reveals is not just a clash of ambitions, but a contest over narrative. One side seeks to frame history as an extension of its influence.

The other stands on a record built through independent mobilisation and timely alliances.

For voters in Ogun East, the question may ultimately come down to credibility.

Beyond campaign rhetoric and emotional appeals lies a more enduring consideration: who truly understands the dynamics of representation, and whose track record aligns with the expectations of the people?

Is it someone who left Oke Mosan and came back after 12years with overwhelming supports to win the senate seat or someone who is yet to exit Oke Mosan, yet has more than half of Ogun people wishing he was never a governor?

Also read: Lagos Lawmakers Back Tinubu Second Term, Appoint Clerk

In the end, politics may allow for reinvention, but it rarely permits a complete rewriting of events.

So Dapo, stop lying.

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The Zamfara Masterminds: Loyalty, Structure and the Unstoppable Engine of the 2027 APC Campaign

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​By Adeola Agoro,

 

​When in 2011 Abdulaziz Yari became the governorship candidate for the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) in Zamfara State just after one term of Alhaji Mahmud Aliyu Shinkafi, many political observers were not surprised.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal woos investors, highlights Zamfara’s economic opportunities at CEO Forum

​Although Mahmud Shinkafi, former deputy governor to His Excellency Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima was one of the few deputy governors to ever be solidly supported by their former bosses to succeed them in 2007, political realignments and party shifts altered the dynamic relationship after a short while in office.

​So it was no surprise when Abdulaziz Yari, a deeply loyal protégé and key political strategist of Yerima got the party ticket and won the Zamfara governorship election in April 2011.

​Over the years, both Yerima and Yari have worked together to make the state a formidable political stronghold and a reference point for administrative continuity.

​Unlike most states carved out of older states, which often grapple with initial structural hurdles, Zamfara State, since its creation from the old Sokoto State in October 1996 and its democratic consolidation under Senator Yerima’s pioneer executive tenure starting in 1999, has continued to stand tall and maintain a distinct, independent presence on the political map of Nigeria.

​The Political Strengths of Yerima and Yari

​Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima (The Godfather & Stakeholder Mobilizer): A consummate strategist and the undisputed patriarch of grassroots mobilization in Northern Nigeria, Yerima’s ability to build bridges across political, traditional and religious institutions gives him an extraordinary capacity to unite diverse interest groups and command deep-rooted loyalty at ground zero.

​Senator Abdulaziz Yari (The Master Tactical Administrator & DG): A seasoned political organizer who served as ANPP State Chairman, House of Representatives member, two-term Governor of Zamfara State (2011–2019) and Chairman of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), Yari brings fierce operational discipline, tactical executive coordination and national consensus-building skills to the table.

​That both men who are undisputed political gladiators are now positioned at the core of the 2027 APC Presidential Campaign Council, with His Excellency Senator Abdulaziz Yari serving as Director-General and His Excellency Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima serving as Stakeholder Mobilizer, is a masterstroke in political planning, strategic alignment and electoral organization.

​To understand the political weight behind the All Progressives Congress (APC) Presidential Campaign Council, one must look at the unique narrative of Zamfara State – a political domain built on deep-rooted loyalty, strategic leadership and administrative continuity.

​When the political landscape was redrawn during Nigeria’s return to democracy in 1999, Zamfara stood ready to chart its own course.

Under the executive leadership of His Excellency, Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima, the state established a distinct identity, proving that it could stand tall, independent and politically formidable on the national stage.

​The Unbroken Bond

​Long before stepping into executive leadership, Abdulaziz Yari had built a reputation as an exceptionally loyal party administrator and key strategist.

Throughout these roles, Yari viewed Yerima not just as a leader, but as a political mentor.

​Unlike many political dynamics across the country where mentor-protégé relationships fray over time, the bond between Yerima and Yari has remained unbroken.

Their connection is built on deep-rooted mutual respect: Yari has consistently maintained absolute loyalty to his mentor, while Yerima has always respected Yari’s sharp administrative mind and organizational capacity.

​A Strategic Masterstroke for 2027

​Today, the inclusion of these two formidable leaders at the core of the APC Presidential Campaign Council brings that exact same spirit of loyalty, structure and strategic brilliance to the national stage.

​With His Excellency, Senator Abdulaziz Yari bringing his tactical discipline, administrative efficiency and nationwide consensus-building skills to the campaign as Director-General and His Excellency, Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima deploying his legendary grassroots influence and bridge-building capabilities as Stakeholder Mobilizer, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s re-election campaign possesses an unbeatable leadership engine.

​While Yari coordinates the national operational machinery as Campaign DG, Yerima engages high-level stakeholders, political blocs, traditional institutions and grassroots groups across all 36 states.

​Their combined track record, vast national networks and deep popularity bring an unbeatable structural shield to the presidential campaign, guaranteeing a sweeping, decisive victory for the APC.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal woos investors, highlights Zamfara’s economic opportunities at CEO Forum

​Their story stands as living proof that when loyalty, strength, administrative genius and mutual respect come together, political success naturally follows.

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Has Tinubu lost his grip on the Nigerian media?

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By Bola BOLAWOLE,

 

You must have heard it said that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has the Nigerian media in his pockets. You may want to wonder how “deep” Tinubu’s pockets are that he can swallow all Nigerian media organizations! In some sense, that idiomatic expression can be true: Tinubu belongs to the tribe of a few Nigerians with “deep” pockets; meaning that they have near-limitless financial resources and clout with which they can buy or influence anything and anyone. Don’t forget that even the Scriptures say “money answereth all things” (Ecclesiastes 10: 19 KJV).

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal And The New Zamfara State

You will also remember that a similar thing was said of the late MKO Abiola, winner of the annulled June 12, 1993 presidential election, the freest and fairest in Nigeria’s chequered history, but which was annulled for inexplicable reasons by military dictator, Gen. Ibrahim Babangida.

But is media ownership not too diffused in Nigeria to allow an individual to put the entire Nigeria media in his or her pockets – including even social media? Are proprietary interests not too conflicting and competing for that to happen? Are today’s Nigerian journalists not too educated, too enlightened, too sophisticated, too urbane, and too professional for a single individual to pocket all of them? What of ideological differences, with many journalists fiercely rejecting pecuniary, “brown envelop” and yellow journalism even at the point of the bayonet?

Many of today’s journalists are proud species and professionals to the core who are committed to their watchdog role of holding the government accountable to the people, regardless of whose ox is gored and without exercising any fear or favor. Yes, there are “white legs” in every profession but Professor Richard A. Joseph’s “prebendalism”, where sentiments such as religion, ethnicity, race, personal relations, and such other sense of entitlements trump merit will hardly allow for a single individual to pocket the media in its entirety.

I got thinking along these lines after reading two of my highly respected columns last Sunday. One was Sonala Olumhense’s “Sonala Olumhense Syndicated” titled “The 2027 election is a survey on stupidity” published on the back page of the Sunday PUNCH newspaper of August 30, 2026.

It was in a very, very bad taste. Sonala, as the Editorial Page editor of The GUARDIAN newspaper, had invited me to the Editorial Board of the then self-proclaimed (and justifiably so!) ‘Flagship” of the Nigerian media. In fact, my first-ever publications in any newspaper were in The GUARDIAN under Sonala’s editorship. They were titled “If I should die unemployed” and “How not to plead for prisoners of conscience.”

Sonala’s line of argument in his piece referenced above hurts, but not the choices he made because he is entitled to them – although, in the same breath, he had denied other Nigerians the right to make their own choices! That faux pas did nothing to diminish Sonala in my estimation, but I felt sorry he went overboard in his desperation to pull Tinubu down but, in the end, promoted vacuity when he said “When there is the kind of menace that APC represents, CREDIBLE OPPOSITION IS ANYONE ELSE (my emphasis) on the ballot.” No sir!

The second of my “Sunday tonic” that got me thinking was Idowu Akinlotan’s “PALLADIUM” on the back page of THE NATION newspaper of Sunday, August 30, 2026 titled “Osun, 2027: APC contends with hostile media.” Reviewing the Ekiti and Osun off-season governorship elections, the one won by APC and the other lost by it, Akinlotan concluded that the Nigerian media was (has become) anti-APC/Tinubu. Can that be true? When and where did it start? Was the media at any point pro-APC/Tinubu? What went wrong? First, snippets from Akinlotan’s piece before we draw our own conclusions:

“Hard as they tried, leaders of the All Progressives Congress (APC) failed to penetrate the reinforced armour of media establishments opposed to their electoral successes since 2023. The ruling party’s fortunes have not changed. Most loathe the ruling party. That the APC won in 2023 without their help and despite their opposition has left the said media enraged. As the party prepares for the 2027 campaigns, and given the unyielding posture of the said media houses, it must by now have made up its mind to go it alone. The party is unable to win new media friends, and has perhaps given up.

“To make a headway (in the) next polls, it must first reflect on the deeply contrasting Ekiti and Osun governorship elections. On June 20 and August 15, the two elections were conducted, barely two months apart, with few intervening variables, and in the same Yoruba region. If it hopes to win next year, it should review newspaper publications of the period June 21 and 22; and August 16 and 17, all representing before and after the poll reports. The media reports were both revealing and troubling.

“Before the Ekiti poll, the papers displayed a sense of resignation, warning darkly about the consequences of rigging the poll or denying the electorate the right to elect a governor of their choice. But the poll went seamlessly, the outcome predictable weeks before, as former governors of the state queued behind the incumbent, Biodun Oyebanji. For media houses which had repeatedly rhapsodised democracy and freedom of choice unfettered by electoral shenanigans, it was expected they would capture the popular mood and abjure the projection of their beliefs and prejudices on the electorate. From casting doubt on the integrity of the polls in their June 20 reports, the media went on, a day after the poll on June 21, to feign objectivity that Mr. Oyebanji was Ieading in the vote count amid vote-buying allegations, unconvincing turnout, and other insinuated malfeasances. There always had to be a but!”

Mr. Akinlotan was right to a great extent. I had written off the Ekiti election, ever before it was conducted, as a coronation of sorts because the opposition, embroiled at the national and local levels by court cases, INEC deregistration threats, internal squabbles and inability to form a united front, did not stand a chance in the election.

The media grudge that Akinlotan spoke about here was actually visible.

But when it came to Osun where opposition Gov. Ademola Adeleke was giving APC a hell of trouble, the opposition media, if I may call it that, came alive, and when Adeleke was coasting home to victory, they celebrated it the way they never celebrated Oyebanji in Ekiti; same when Adeleke was eventually announced as the winner of the election.

Let me start by saying that Akinlotan’s advice that Tinubu should ignore the “opposition” media and go it alone will not serve the president any good.

A better option is to find out what went wrong with a man who courted and cultivated the media, and who was loved and supported by it, and why the reverse is now the case – if we are to take Akinlotan’s narrative as the gospel truth.

Besides, enough evidence has emerged that elections are not won here on social media or by newspaper endorsements.

One: Tinubu started on a wrong footing with the first appointment of a spokesperson. The guy was clearly a misfit for the office. Two: The initial in-fighting within Tinubu’s media team seriously harmed and hampered their performance and dented their image. Three: The truculence of some of Tinubu’s presidential aides, instead of being accommodating and conciliatory, offended and isolated many of their professional colleagues. Four: Some names on Tinubu’s media team embarrass true professionals. Five: Has Tinubu’s media team been proactive enough? How often, how persistently, do they reach out to their professional colleagues with vital information? They should constantly court and cultivate their professional colleagues and not expect it to be the other way round.

Historically, the media is adversarial. It started by fighting the Colonial government for the country’s Independence. I do not think the media has totally purged that advocacy from its bloodline.

It is an aberration when we describe the government and the media as “partners in progress.” The media’s duty is to hold the government accountable to the people by constantly holding government’s feet to the fire – but it should also give kudos when it is richly deserved, just like Babafemi Ojudu did recently on the Lagos-Calabar expressway signature project of the Tinubu administration.

Traditionally, the media supports the underdog. In Osun, Gov. Adeleke was the perceived underdog whereas in Ekiti, the disparate opposition parties were the underdog.

Professionally, the media is sensational. Bad news makes better news. Hence we were taught that when a dog bites a man, it is not news but when a man bites a dog, bedlam! Sensational news sells newspapers better and faster. Ask readers themselves! They determine what they would like to read!

Respectfully, I do not think Akinlotan’s scare-mongering is the right way to go.

Tinubu should instead re-invent his media team to become more conciliatory and accessible to their professional colleagues – be they so-called opposition or friendly media. Engage with them more frequently.

If people are made to see the other side of any issue, many of them will become more supportive and compassionate.

When people are shut out, deliberately or inadvertently, you lose the right to complain that they are hostile.

Besides, dissenting voices oil the wheel of democracy. Effective media relations takes no one as an enemy but as inescapable partners in the same Nigerian project, even if we see things from different or conflicting prisms or perspectives.

Office-holders should always have it at the back of their mind that there is a terminal date to every appointment.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal And The New Zamfara State

If in doubt, ask yourself where are the men and women who occupied the office and sat on the same seat that you occupy today? You, too, will become history!

 

(Published in the TREASURES column on the back page of the NEW TELEGRAPH newspaper of Wednesday, 2 September, 2026).

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Hon. Shina Peller: It Is Difficult to Challenge and Defeat an Incumbent

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By Bayo Adeoye,

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Taking on a sitting government is never an easy task, and according to Hon. Shina Peller, one of the reasons is that many challengers underestimate what they are up against.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal And The New Zamfara State

Hon. Shina Peller makes this point in Seun Oloketuyi’s forthcoming book, How to Win an Election in Nigeria, where he reflects on the realities of challenging an incumbent and what it takes to stand a real chance of winning.

He said opposition candidates sometimes mistake the anger people express towards a government or the excitement generated on social media for actual electoral strength.

But, as Hon. Shina Peller explained, there is a big difference between people being unhappy with a government and having a well-organised structure capable of defeating it at the polls.

According to Hon. Shina Peller, incumbents already have established networks and resources working in their favour, giving them an advantage that challengers cannot afford to ignore.

For anyone hoping to unseat a sitting government, Hon. Shina Peller said the work has to begin well before election season.

A challenger cannot simply appear during the campaign period and expect public frustration to do the rest. “Rage against an incumbent is not a strategy; structure is,” he said.

His comments offer a look at one of the biggest realities of Nigerian elections which is, defeating an incumbent requires more than being the alternative. It requires building enough strength to actually compete with the machinery already in place.

Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal And The New Zamfara State

Hon. Shina Peller’s thoughts on incumbency, opposition politics and what it takes to challenge those already in power are featured in Seun Oloketuyi’s How to Win an Election in Nigeria, scheduled for release on September 6.

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