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Lagos 2027: Early Promptings of Idiocy

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There have been subtle projections for the Lagos state governorship election in 2027. Unfortunately, these early promptings seem to lack the requisite intellectual rigour for the dynamic politics and leadership demands of the state of acquatic splendour. Shola Oyeyipo writes.
A general build-up to the 2027 national elections can no longer be dismissed as “too early” again, given the current provisions of the nation’s electoral laws. By the letters of these laws, elected officials can hardly savour two years at a stretch to deliver on their promises, before campaign distractions commence.
Sections 76(2), 116(2), 132(2) and 178(2) of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999 (as amended), state that elections shall hold not earlier than one hundred and fifty (150) days and not later than thirty (30) days before the expiration of the term of office of` the last holder of that office.
By these provisions, the electoral commission, INEC, is empowered by Section 28(1) of the Electoral Act 2022 to issue Notice for the elections not later than 360 days before the date of the elections.

Once this is done, governance takes the back stage and politics becomes the in-thing. Thus, if anyone is starting to project for the next bout of election, it may be considered part of the build-up, albeit an unlawful indulgence at this time.
Yet, the recent balloon trials about the likely turn that the Lagos governorship might take were not only poor attempts at simulating anything, they failed to show a grasp of the issues that might dominate political discourse at this time.
In one of those efforts, the failure to credit the president, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, with deserving political intelligence by expressly tipping his son, Seyi, as a likely choice for the Lagos governorship,  was one idiotic undertaking loaded with absolute baloney.
Excuse qualification for a bit as a different debate on its own, no other more serious political considerations, including religion and geopolitical factors spared a thought for him.

How a president, who would be battling to return to office, would willfully set his empire on fire, is unlikely his disposition, even though a renowned risk-taking political juggernaut.
It’s no doubt a delicate wager and there’s no debating the fact that no politician worth his salt would travel, not just on such a highway to nowhere, but obstreperously stoke a fire that would consume all that he already has in the bag.
That said, the qualification debate can now step forward. However, anyone looks at this, what has Seyi done that would make his father push him forward for the Lagos governorship?
Take a quick review of the profiles of everyone who had governed Lagos, starting from his father and say to yourself which of them he comes close to, including Akinwunmi Ambode, who was not allowed to seek re-election?

The Yoruba will readily ask anyone with poor reasoning to smell his own words and tell how badly it stinks. Perhaps, those pushing this agenda should read over their garbage and tell themselves how that is feasible with all the variables waiting to determine the next choice for Lagos.
Curiously, the other leg to the early promptings and their tawdry delivery was the veiled move to put down some names, while making others appear impossible choices.
It is true and arguable that the Senator representing Lagos East, Tokunbo Abiru, is a good material for Lagos. From the halls of many banks to the red chamber, it is hard to dismiss or downplay his eligibility, suitability and capacity.
He fits the bill in all ramifications and has earned a constant mention in the race for the Lagos governorship, even before he went to the senate. These notwithstanding, he, too, would battle other factors, although determined by the “owner” of Lagos, when the time comes. His choice is therefore not a given yet.

Interestingly, one name that is gradually creeping into the mix, and which a majority of the Lagos politicians are coming to terms with as seemingly fitting the bill and picture of Tinubu’s unusual choice for governor is the current Minister of Education, Dr. Tunji Alausa.
Whatever analysis anyone is doing now that does not yield a deserving space to Alausa is probably clowning for want of what to write. He may appear unnoticed and unpopular for now, many observers from Lagos already see his redeployment from junior minister at the Ministry of Health to Education as instructive.
This development, they now argue, was not only to properly position and prepare him for the Lagos challenge, they are convinced that the ministry would start to get more votes as part of design to empower and put him on a stronger footing ahead of the decision to either draft him into the race or empower him.

For an average politician, his nomination to the cabinet was not a surprise. The duo of Tinubu and Alausa had come a long way since their days in the United States. While the latter was said to have done a lot in service for the former back in the day, Tinubu has not had the opportunity to compensate him. The time to do so is now.
Unfortunately, there’s one more name that is already being mentioned, sadly in talk-down tone and that is the current Deputy Governor of Lagos State, Dr. Obafemi Hamzat – a man of class and distinction.
While no one can emerge Lagos governor without the blessing of the president, except, of course, God personally steps in, Hamzat is one material that both the political class and the ordinary citizens of the state have continued to tip as Lagos’ best bet. Their reasons suit all logics.

First, as the current deputy governor, who would have run the state with Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu for eight years by 2027, it would make transition easy. The fact that he understands the development agenda of the state as an active player cancels out many “ifs”.
In addition, he satisfies practically all political considerations as far as the race to the Lagos governorship is concerned. Smart, sound and very intelligent, he is also hands-on, so much that his choice would naturally relieve the president of any worry back home while the battle for his reelection rages across the nation.
His knowledge of Lagos, development politics, issues and the management of the political class puts him miles ahead of everyone else. This also explains while those conversant with these facts but want someone else have continued to use his strengths against him, insinuating that the president would not field a man, who seems solid in everything.
By implications, the move is intended to set him up for failure and make him lose favour before the president. Indeed, some have also openly sung to him that anyone who overtly or subtly indicates interest in the governorship never gets it, citing the president’s style as constant in this decision.
However, while it may appear that the president has always gambled with his choice of the Lagos governor, and has always been lucky to end up with good hands, including Ambode, his inadequacies nonetheless, political dynamics also demand a review of strategy for results that are in sync with current realities.
At the end of the day, the only person who will determine the next governor of Lagos state is God through the instrumentality of the people.
The same God has also placed in President Tinubu, the power and influence to choose right on behalf of the people again in 2027, without downplaying the prevailing factors, both in the state and his own election.
But the choice candidate must have the right character, temper, knowledge and capacity to do the job. After all, this is Lagos.
In the final analysis, the early promptings are not completely out of place and may help stoke real conversations ahead of the Lagos 2027 poll. However, pandering to obvious idiocy in order to flesh up weak analyses is counterproductive, even to their own idea of who the cap fits

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Fake News! Asiwaju, First Lady Never Asked Obasa To Return ….ex-speaker clutching at last straws 

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Since the emergence of Rt. Hon Mojisola Lasbat Meranda as the first female speaker of the Lagos House of Assembly and consequently resumption in office on Monday, January 27, 2025, the Lagos polity had witnessed various activities.

At the inception of her emergence, many had wondered if the impeachment of ex-speaker Mudashiru Obasa would hold water as a result of his absence but the lawmakers that spearheaded the impeachment and the election of Meranda insisted that the process was done to uphold the sanctity and integrity of the House.

Upon the return of Obasa, the ex-speaker, who has refused to leave the official residence of the Speaker of Lagos Assembly, claimed his impeachment and emergence of Meranda were illegal.

However, lawmakers including Hon. Ogundipe Stephen Olukayode and Hon. Abiodun Tobun backed the process of Obasa’s impeachment and the emergence of Meranda with Chapter 5, Section 92 of the Nigerian Constitution, which says a Speaker of House of Assembly or Deputy Speaker of the House of Assembly shall vacate the office if he/she ceases to be a member of the House of Assembly otherwise than by reason of the dissolution of the House; When the House first sits after any dissolution of House; or if he/she is removed from office by a resolution of House of Assembly by the votes of not less than two-third majority of the members of the House.

In another twist, the men of the Lagos Command of the Department of State Services (DSS) detained some Lagos lawmakers over the impeachment process. Determined not to renege on their resolutions, members of the Lagos State House of Assembly visited the Shangisha office of the DSS to reaffirm that the removal of the former Speaker was in line with constitutional provisions.

The latest ploy is to use the media in distorting the real issues and spreading false narratives to cause unrest to the Assembly and the new leadership.

Earlier on Sunday, February 2, 2025, there were false reports claiming President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, who also doubles as the leader of the All Progressive Congress, has instructed the current leadership of the House of Assembly led by Rt. Hon Meranda to resign for Obasa to return and be reinstated. The report even falsely linked the distinguished First Lady, Oluremi Tinubu, to the fake tale noting that she spoke to the president on behalf of Obasa to ensure Meranda and other principal officers resign. This, the report noted, was to avoid political issues ahead of the next elections.

“When it seemed ploys and tactics from the ex-speaker are not yielding expected results, those behind the plots have resorted to sponsoring wild rumours and dropping names,” an inside political source revealed. “The president is the leader of our party and it’s quick to drop his name around in the media to make Obasa seem like one who has a strong backing. All the antics from Obasa that you are seeing are all the ex-speaker clutching to the last straws of what remains of his political career.”

Another source close to the presidency waved off the report as not only a joke but a figment of the writer’s imagination or possibly sponsored by the Obasa camp.

“The people claiming the president wasn’t aware of the removal of Obasa are insulting the president and the security architecture of his administration. How can something like that take place and the DSS and other people handling intelligence will not know. These are ordinary civilian politicians, not military officers who can hold clandestine meetings. So, something of that magnitude happened in Asiwaju’s Lagos and he didn’t know?” the source asked rhetorically.

Continuing, the source revealed that the narrative that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, who also serves as the leader of the All Progressive Congress and linking the distinguished first lady, Oluremi Tinubu to the mix is pure lies.

“How can anyone think he wasn’t aware and so he is unhappy with the lawmakers? He had received them in the villa after they were all elected, the same way the governor had received them. If Asiwaju didn’t want it to happen, he would have nipped the plan in the bud and stopped them in their tracks. I insist, something of that political magnitude could not have happened and he would be in the dark.”

Meanwhile, Rt. Hon. Mojisola Lasbat Meranda has resumed office and received dignitaries and association including the executives of National Association of Nigerian Students, representatives from the 1st Assembly to the 9th Assembly of the Lagos State House of Assembly, amongst others while presiding over the plenary sessions in the house without issues.

The facts of the emergence of Rt. Hon. Mojisola Lasbat Meranda is one that is open to the general public.

Rt. Hon. Meranda’s emergence is coming from a place of worth and competence. As one, who never had issues with the former speaker while she held the position of the Deputy Speaker nor contested for the position after the speaker was impeached, it becomes worrisome to many how she emerged.

Some argued that her emergence was influenced by the powers that be but investigation has proven that despite being the immediate younger sister to the Oniru of Iru land, Meranda has achieved popularity and deposited confidence in the consciousness of other lawmakers with her smart, intelligent and brilliant mien. Her elder brother has repeatedly noted that he has no business with the activities in the state assembly as he’s busy with the development of Iru land, hence he has no hand in either her emergence nor her running of the house of assembly activities since her emergence in January 2025.

Meanwhile, Rt. Hon. Meranda has enjoyed unwavering support and backing from the female folks across the state. Aside from her dedication to women, widows, children and youths’ causes, her emergence as the first female speaker in the Lagos Assembly since the inauguration of the first assembly in 1979 has ignited a united front from various women oriented civil and labour organisations across the state.

Meranda, who is a wife, mother, and politician with an impressive resume, is an easy going person, who was voted by the members of the assembly as a result of her worth and the confidence they have in her

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Lovers of Lagos Challenges Sen. Adefuye: Show Us Where Obasa’s Removal Is Illegal

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The political drama surrounding the impeachment of the former Speaker of the Lagos State House of Assembly, Rt. Hon. Mudashiru Obasa, has taken a new turn as Senator Anthony Adefuye, a key member of the Governance Advisory Council (GAC), has voiced his support for Obasa’s claim that his removal was unconstitutional. However, the pro-democracy group Lovers of Lagos has challenged Adefuye to back his assertions with a clear reference to the Constitution, insisting that the law, not emotions, should guide such matters.

In an interview with The Punch, Senator Adefuye expressed agreement with Obasa’s position that the impeachment process was flawed. “What he’s saying is that he was illegally removed and the procedure was faulty, and I agree with him,” Adefuye stated. This has sparked widespread debate about the legality of Obasa’s ouster, which occurred on January 13, 2025, with the support of 32 lawmakers—an overwhelming majority in the House.

Lovers of Lagos: Sentiment Is Not Law

Responding to Adefuye’s remarks, Lovers of Lagos issued a statement challenging the senator to provide specific constitutional provisions that were violated during Obasa’s removal. The group emphasized that governance and legislative actions must be guided by law, not personal sentiments or political loyalties.

“As an elder of the party and a former legislator, Senator Adefuye should know better than to make vague claims without backing them with constitutional evidence,” the group said. “If the former Speaker’s removal was truly illegal, let Senator Adefuye or anyone else point us to the exact part of the Constitution that supports this claim. It is not enough to make emotional arguments; these issues are constitutional, not sentimental.”

Obasa’s Claims Under Scrutiny

During his public address at the Speaker’s Lodge in Ikeja on Saturday, Obasa reiterated his stance that his removal did not follow due process. He denied allegations of financial misconduct and questioned the validity of the impeachment process.

“I have not done anything wrong. I have been a lawmaker for over two decades and am the longest-serving lawmaker in the House,” Obasa stated. He further mocked the allegations, asking, “Is it possible to construct an ordinary gate with N16 billion? It’s not the Wall of Jericho or the wall between the United States and Mexico.”

However, Lovers of Lagos dismissed these claims as a distraction from the real issue at hand. “The impeachment of Rt. Hon. Obasa was supported by 32 lawmakers—an undeniable majority. This shows that the process had widespread support within the Assembly. If Obasa believes his removal was unconstitutional, he should take legal action and let the courts decide, instead of engaging in public theatrics,” the group added.

A Call for Clarity

The group also criticized Senator Adefuye for adding fuel to the political crisis without offering constructive solutions. “As a respected elder and a member of the GAC, Senator Adefuye should be advising on how to move the state forward, not sowing discord by making baseless claims. The Constitution is clear on the procedures for impeachment, and these were followed in the case of Obasa,” Lovers of Lagos noted.

The Way Forward

While Obasa has hinted at potential legal action, observers have urged him to focus on presenting his case in court rather than fueling tensions in the political arena. His comparison of his removal to that of former Speaker Jokotola Pelumi, who he claims was impeached following due process, has also been questioned by legal experts, who argue that each case is unique and must be evaluated on its own merits.

“Lagosians deserve governance rooted in accountability and the rule of law. If there are grievances, they must be addressed within the framework of the Constitution. The era of impunity is over, and everyone, regardless of position, must adhere to the law,” Lovers of Lagos concluded.

As the controversy rages on, the spotlight remains on Senator Adefuye and others supporting Obasa to prove their claims with facts, not rhetoric. Until then, the Lagos State House of Assembly, under the leadership of Rt. Hon. Mojisola Meranda, continues its work, moving past the era of Obasa’s leadership.

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Ogundimu Congratulates New Lagos Assembly Speaker; Tasks Her On Restoring Assembly’s Dignity

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Former member of Lagos State House of Assembly, Honourable Dr Oluyinka Ogundimu, has congratulated the newly-elected Speaker of the Assembly, Rt Honourable Lasbat Mojisola Meranda on her new achievement.

Honourable Ogundimu described Rt Honourable Meranda’s election as well deserved nothing that the fact she was overwhelmingly voted for to lead the House by her colleagues was a testament of the confidence repose in her by them.

“That you were overwhelmingly voted for by your colleagues to lead them is a confirmation of their belief in your ability and capacity to lead them,” Dr Ogundimu said.

He stated further, “and having related, interacted and worked with you closely during the 8th and 9th Assemblies, I have no doubt that you have the ability to restore the Assembly glory and return it to its status of being above common standard of excellence”.

Dr Ogundimu, who was a member of the House in the 7th, 8th and 9th Assemblies, urged the lawmakers to rally round the new Speaker, support her and cooperate with her to make the House great again.

“It’s your collective responsibility to join hands with Rt Honourable Meranda to restore the dignity of the House,” he said

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