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2027: INEC’s Coup Against Dapo Abiodun

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Dapo Abiodun

Dapo Abiodun Senate ambition draws criticism as political commentary questions leadership record and electoral value ahead of 2027 contests

I have never been tired of telling people that the best education I had was acquired during my A’ Level years in the 80s.

Also read: LG autonomy in Ogun state: Will governor Dapo Abiodun finally credit local government allocations directly amid nulge’s ultimatum?

It was my first exposure to maturity and discernment, the age of consciousness when I started living on my own terms and could define why I do certain things.

One of my subject combinations was economics and the subject in which I had a Distinction at my school certificate level was expanded into three complex learnings handled by three different teachers.

This was when I was able to unilaterally and psychologically summarize the whole subject area which we have of then defined as the “social science which deals with human behavior in relation to ends and scarce means with alternative uses”.

Economics is simply about “Choices” or decisions that we make among “alternatives”; where the Opportunity Costs are about what we forego or a decision that we “refused” to make.

In later years, I have had to make practical decisions on my own from a B-Cost factor perspective; in making several choices on the basis “of what Benefit and at what Costs”.

This decision making process has proven to be beneficial at all critical crossroads.

The Independent National Electoral Commission appears to have carried out an administrative coup against so many politicians who have come unprepared, with a rescheduled time table which abridged the grace period and lifespan of some outgoing Governors, including that of Mr. Dapo Abiodun of Ogun State.

Mr. Abiodun is touted among the list of those eyeing a transition from Governor to Senate (though one would have thought a serious and truly hardworking Governor would wish to be allowed to rest on a Leave of absence after the 8 years exertion).

It is therefore important to X-ray this chance in case it is true, using the B-Cost factor lens. What are the “Benefits” that Mr. Abiodun brings to the table, and at what “Costs” to Mr. President, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, to the people of Ogun State; and to the people of Ogun East Senatorial District where he hopes to represent.

In 2019, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed stood firmly on the side of Dapo Abiodun to pick the APC party ticket and was also for him all through the general elections.

The simple narrative was that a lot of heads combined to “assist” Dapo Abiodun win with a paltry 19,000 votes margin. How did he pay back the President?

The whole narrative of the 2023 elections was summarized in the “Eleyi” sobriquets, where he openly canvased, mocked and disrespected Asiwaju in the Primaries.

He sang denigrating songs before the Ogun State Delegates in Abuja to mock the man who gave all in his power to support Dapo Abiodun to become the Governor.

Even during the Presidential elections, he traded off the victory of Asiwaju in his polling unit (where he personally voted) and in his entire Iperu Ward.

Money allegedly released to him to support security operations and as honorarium to traditional rulers that received Asiwaju in audience at the Cultural Centre in Abeokuta before the elections remains unpaid till this moment, only to keep those for his own re-election two weeks later.

But as Karma will have it, Dapo Abiodun himself lost his 2023 Governorship elections, especially in his Senatorial District and was again “assisted” mainly through the legal process.

It is clear that someone who was assisted to win elections in two consecutive circles has no particular values to add to the re-election of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. On the contrary, his plan was to lurk under the shadow of the President’s popularity to worm his way into the Senate.

The question then is, can the President carry a political liability into the next phase of contest where he needs to get the maximum votes that he can get.

The reason for the lack of lustre Dapo Abiodun’s performance during the 2023 elections was basically in the universe of values, a disconnect from the people.

Mr. Abiodun’s government and economic policies target only Mr. Abiodun and no one else. Projects benefit only him and his circle of cronies (not more than two).

Appointments were given as a charity and usually at the last minute for political expediency.

People who were appointed don’t even get to see him, he doesn’t pick their calls, no cabinet meetings because he feels he does not need them, they do not occupy any space in his political trajectory.

The people were appointed only to say “Thank You” because there is no work for them except to fill up blank spaces some according the law, and others just for the optics.

With this kind of mindset and motive, win or lose at the Primaries, Dapo Abiodun has no more need of all these people.

For someone who had lost two previous elections, the next contest is not considered from a test of popularity but of potential manipulation to ride on the crest of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s popularity and not on his own.

So, he does not need any worker to mobilise public support for him but a handful of men, especially through INEC who can execute the manipulation and they will also be discarded after the ballots.

Procurement has been his political template. Those elders that have been on monthly payrolls would have outlived their relevance and the tap will be closed.

The Leaderships of the transport unions that he patronised all through would have expired in their usefulness and all that would be left is to appoint some last minute undertakers to consolidate on his own economic benefits derivable from that venture.

The party leaderships have no place in Dapo Abiodun’s next agenda with or without a ticket in his hands. As a Governor, he had the opportunity of putting thousands of people to work, as a Senator, he can only appoint six trusted people as Aides. Dapo Abiodun’s brand of politics is not of populism or popularity, but strictly a business affair.

With INEC’s new time table however, Dapo Abiodun has just about sixty days to play the “nice man” card. He will pick calls and hold meetings in the next 60 days; he will pretend to be a listening Governor; he will be less caustic; he will be jovial and gentle even to the most stupid ideas, after all it is just a matter of time.

The carnival will soon be over. Worse still, once he loses the ticket, he will make hell for those who collect money from him and fail to deliver their Constituencies as he had done in the past when he lost the Ogun East Senatorial ticket and in subsequent elections when he went after those who collected money from him during the election process.

For those singing Dapo Abiodun’s Hosanna today, their Hallelujah has been muffled within the next 60 days of a sprint run.

The Rule of Epicharmus suggests knowing how has treated another person before, Dapo Abiodun is not that kind of leader who needs the crowd, he is sufficient only in himself and his epicurean lifestyle.

Also readEDITORIAL: Governor Dapo Abiodun’s Politics of Vindictiveness Is Tearing Ogun Apart

He can never any people’s choice but an Opportunity Cost and an alternative forgone in any political process.

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Governor Dauda Lawal Wins BON Governor of the Year Award

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Governor Dauda Lawal wins BON Governor of the Year award for infrastructure excellence driving Zamfara urban renewal and development reforms (more…)

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The Unfinished Rescue Mission: Ten Reasons Zamfara Must Re-elect Governor Dauda Lawal in 2027

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By Oladapo Sofowora

In the resilient heart of Northwestern Nigeria, a different kind of storm is blowing hard. It is not the whirlwind of banditry that has long defined Zamfara State, but the quiet, determined tempest of reconstruction and recalibration done by Governor Dauda Lawal, who took the reins of a state gasping for air choked by insecurity, bankrupt of spirit, and paralyzed by decades of maladministration steering it to the path of prosperity. Three years into his first term, the landscape is shifting and the story is changing for the better. Yet, every revolution needs time to root. For Zamfara indigenes, here are ten detailed reasons why they must hand Governor Dauda Lawal another mandate to steer the state to the promised land, so as to enable him to finish the work he has so boldly begun.

1. The Security Recalibration

For years, Zamfara’s security apparatus was reactive, arriving after villages had been razed, but Governor Lawal changed the paradigm with a shift. He didn’t just procure guns; he built a comprehensive Zamfara Community Guard integrated with local vigilantes and formal military intelligence that has served its purpose of gathering local intelligence and sharing it with security agencies to tackle all sorts of insecurity in the state. His administration invested over ₦4 billion in surveillance drones, armoured personnel carriers, and rapid-response communication towers across the 14 local government areas. The result? A 60% reduction in major attacks in the last 18 months. Another term means expanding this network to the most remote forests of Tsafe and Maradun, finally breaking the spine of the criminal enclaves. One term was used to stabilize the patient; a second term handed to him will cure the disease totally.

2. The Restoration of Integrity in the Civil Service Structure

Before Lawal, Zamfara’s civil service was a graveyard of productivity, infested with “ghost workers” who drained the treasury, leveraging a lacuna created by the previous administration. Upon resumption, the Governor commissioned a forensic biometric audit in which over 5,000 fictitious names were expunged from the payroll, saving the state over ₦1.2 billion monthly. More importantly, he cleared 18 months of salary arrears inherited from the previous administration within his first 100 days. A second term handed to him via the ballot will focus on capacity building and promotions based on merit, transforming the bureaucracy from a parasitic entity into an engine of service delivery.

3. The Educational State of Emergency

Banditry had turned over 300 schools into abandoned ruins, with teachers fleeing and children being abducted. Governor Lawal declared a state of emergency on education. He has since reconstructed 200 primary schools with fortified walls and secure hostels. The “School Feeding and Safe Return” program brought back 150,000 out-of-school children. But the job is half done. The remaining 150 schools in high-risk zones need the same treatment. Re-electing Lawal means ensuring no child in Zamfara has to choose between a bullet and a book.

4. Functioning Primary Healthcare Across the State

For a decade, rural Zamfara relied on patent medicine sellers for life-saving care. Governor Lawal refurbished 147 Primary Healthcare Centers (PHCs), equipping each with solar power, vaccines, and at least two resident nurses. He launched the Zamfara Health Voucher Scheme, giving 50,000 vulnerable women free antenatal and delivery care. The time of medical pilgrimage is over as the state now boasts of a functioning MRI machine among other sophisticated medical machines. A second term will see the full completion and upgrade of three zonal general hospitals in Gusau, Kaura Namoda, and Anka, bringing surgery and emergency care within reach of every citizen.

5. Agricultural Revolution

Zamfara is a state predominantly with farmers; true to its slogan, ‘Farming is our pride’, despite the rich soil, farmers are poor and are being terrorized from their farmlands due to insecurity. Lawal’s “Farming Without Fear” initiative partnered with the military to create secure agricultural corridors during planting and harvest seasons. He distributed drought-resistant seeds and solar-powered water pumps to 40,000 farmers. The state’s rice and maize output tripled last year. Yet, the missing link is processing. With a cargo airport in place and a readily available market, there will be a major boost in agricultural business in the state. A second term will see the establishment of a staple crop processing zone (SCPZ) in Gusau, turning raw produce into export-ready goods and ending the exploitation of middlemen.

6. The Portable Water Revolution

Gusau and its environs relied on a water treatment plant built in 1978. It was a relic, but Governor Lawal secured a ₦15 billion loan from the World Bank to rehabilitate the Damaturu Water Scheme, increasing daily capacity from 15 million to 50 million liters. For the first time in a generation, taps are flowing in Talata Mafara and Shinkafi. But some rural communities still trek for hours to get portable drinking water. A second term will extend this reticulated network to 200 additional rural communities, making water a right, not a luxury.

7. The Economic Inclusion of Empowering Women and Youth

Banditry thrived because idle young men were easily lured. Lawal countered this with the Zamfara Youth Empowerment Trust (ZAYET), training 10,000 youths in tailoring, ICT, and solar installation, and giving them startup capital. His Kaura Economic Stimulus provided 20,000 women with ₦50,000 each to revive small-scale trading. The recidivism rate into crime among beneficiaries is less than 2%. A second term will scale this to reach all 147 wards, ensuring that the economic ladder is long enough for every willing citizen to climb.

8. Transparency and Accountability in Governance Pact

Governor Lawal is the first Zamfara governor to publish monthly financial statements on the state government website, including details of every constituency project actualized. He voluntarily subjected the state’s accounts to a forensic audit by the EFCC and ICPC; a move his predecessors fought to block. The result is a restored relationship with international donors (UNDP, EU), who have returned to fund developmental projects across the state because Governor Lawal puts to use every fund given with accountability. One term has proven his integrity; a second term will institutionalize it, creating a culture of governance where public funds are put to judicious use without being siphoned.

9. Justice Sector Reform by Decongesting the Prisons and Prosecuting the Convicted

Zamfara’s prisons were incubators for radicalization, filled with petty offenders and low-level herders, while bandit kingpins roamed freely across the state. Lawal’s administration, in partnership with the judiciary, released 1,200 detainees held for minor offenses without trial, decongesting the facilities. Simultaneously, a specialized mobile court has secured 50 convictions against bandit collaborators and informants. A second term will focus on building a modern correctional center and strengthening the witness protection program, ensuring that justice is both swift and safe to administer.

10. The Legacy of Resilience in Rebuilding Social Trust

The most profound reason to re-elect Dauda Lawal is the hope his administration brings. He inherited a traumatized populace that no longer believed the state could protect them. Today, markets in Gusau stay open past 6 PM. Farmers sleep in their own homes instead of bush hideouts. Internally displaced persons are voluntarily returning to their ancestral lands. This psychological shift from fear to cautious optimism is the most fragile and precious asset Zamfara has gained. Destroying it by returning to the old ways would be catastrophic. A second term will solidify this trust, transforming resilience into permanent recovery.

Governor Dauda Lawal has not performed miracles in one term; miracles are for saints, not statesmen. But what he has done is to perform the harder task ahead. He has laid a solid foundation of competence, security, and integrity where there was only rubble. The Zamfara of today does not need a new experiment; it needs the continuation of a working plan already in motion. Re-electing Dauda Lawal again is not about rewarding the past; it is about securing the future ahead. The first term broke the curse of neglect; the second term will recalibrate the fortune of the state to prosperity.

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Kebbi Assembly Speaker Muhammad Usman Zuru Is Dead in Egypt

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Muhammad Usman Zuru death confirmed as Kebbi Speaker dies in Egypt while receiving treatment for undisclosed illness (more…)

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