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Gainers and losers of Trump’s invasion threat…

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Bola BOLAWOLE

Nigeria-US diplomacy intensifies as political and military tensions rise, threatening stability in West Africa and the wider international order

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“A 17th century English author, diplomat, and politician, Sir Henry Wotton (1568 – 1639), was quoted as describing, in 1604, an ambassador or diplomat as ‘an honest gentleman sent to lie abroad for the good of his country’”

Also read: Empowering Justice for All: Governor Aiyedatiwa’s Role as Ambassador of the Rule of Law

“How can an honest gentleman also tell lies?”

“That is the irony of it – but the statement is factual. It is exactly what diplomats do. Sir Henry spoke from the two angles of theory and practice”

“That was many centuries ago! I am sure events, especially civilization, must have overtaken such crudity”

“On the contrary! Sir Henry’s classical statement still holds true today. If a diplomat speaks and you immediately know what he means and where he is heading, then, he is a novice in the art”

“Really? We are admonished to call a spade a spade…!”

“Not in the world of diplomacy! And not as it pertains to relations between countries in the international political system. Are you aware that diplomats also spy for their country and even organize assassinations for its good?”

“L’o-ba-tan! And you call that ‘good’?”

“The world of diplomacy is trickish, delicate and deadly; strewn with all manner of dangerous ups-and-downs. Are you aware that Sir Henry paid dearly for his witty and satirical statement?“

“How?“

“The hegemon of his time, King James the First, heard of it and was sorely displeased. He caused Sir Henry to be disgraced!”

“That is serious, for such an innocuous statement?“

“He was even lucky! Some get killed for gaffes more trifling than that…”

“Then the world of diplomacy is a dangerous one”

“It is! When you are close to the corridors of power, you must be very careful with every statement and action of yours. Here in Nigeria, one top brass recently failed to, and he paid dearly for it, dragging some other unlucky folks along with him…”

“And who can that be?”

“Were you not in this country when there was a rumoured coup or no coup…”

“Oh! Yes, yes, yes…”

“Oh-ooo! Where is the person who made the confirmation? Tell me, is he still sitting pretty in his office?

“I seeee! But he tried to manage the situation very well…”

“Not well enough to the pleasure of the hegemon. They must have reasoned that he was not diplomatic enough…”

“You mean he did not lie enough?

“Exactly! Diplomats are masters of doublespeak, deceit, and subterfuge…”

“All for the good of their country…”

“You are a fast learner! Don’t you see how America has thrown the whole of Nigeria into confusion? A statement of a few words has kept Nigerians guessing, with Nigerian leaders running from pillar to post…”

“Even me, I am worried! We are not talking here about Liberia or Sierra Leone! The USA is the military hegemony of the world. I understand even the terrorists have started fleeing Nigeria!”

“Who dash monkey banana! But I, for one, am not worried. Those who are worried are those who took the words of President Donald Trump at their face value…”

“But he couldn’t have been more emphatic: Stop the genocide of Nigerian Christians or else…”

”You mean you don’t want the genocide to stop?“

“What of the dire consequences of foreign invasion? We have seen what the USA did everywhere they invaded. I think we should be left alone to tackle the problem ourselves”

“I am sorry, you will not! You cannot be trusted to do the needful. Since 1999, you have been left alone, but what have you done? Besides, stopping genocide is the least of the reasons why the USA will want to invade Nigeria, if it must. “

“Now you are getting my point! The USA can stop genocide in Nigeria simply by sneezing, just like they have done. They need not invade…”

“Donald Trump has become France’s Napoleon Bonaparte of our time? In his own days, it is written that when Napoleon sneezes, the whole of Europe catches cold!“

“So, you can see that they have a hidden agenda and ulterior motives if they still invade. Have you heard that the Yankees are after our resources? “

“I have heard, but that is not the reason…”

“They are angry at some of our policies and utterances…”

“I know, but that is not the reason…”

“Our membership of BRICS ails them…”

”Maybe, but that still is not the reason…”

”We spoke in support of Hamas, Iran..”

“Diplomats and world leaders schooled in the art of diplomacy sell dummies. You never get to know where they are coming from until they get to where they are going…”

“I am lost! Can it be Peter Obi that went to the US to engineer Trump against Nigeria?“

“ That one na small fry! America can use him, but he can never use America. Don’t compare sleep with death…”

“I really cannot understand why a superpower will flex muscles with a poor country like Nigeria; ordinary AK-47, we cannot produce locally…”

”But don’t you call yourself the ‘Giant of Africa’? Giant with clay feet! And don’t you say you are oil-rich? Wahala knocks on your door and you have started singing like a canary!”

“Shakara oloje, as Fela called it, is different from a real situation of trepidation that faces us now.”

“Whether you like it or not, America is coming; except they find a better way of serving their core national interest…”

“And what is that? “

“You think it was for fun that the hegemon here got really angry that a top military brass publicly and officially confirmed that there were rumblings in the military?”

“He said there was minor misdemeanor over failed exams, lack of promotion, and stagnant career…”

“And what fuels discontentment and grumblings in the military more than those?’

“I see! I never thought of it that way…”

”Assuming the masterminds were not caught before they could strike, think of the configuration… “

“Mostly Northern military officers, mostly Moslems as well! And against a sitting Yoruba president. That would be ‘June 12’ Part Two”

“Now add that to the Sahel states of Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso where the military are in power via coup and have switched allegiance from the Western orbit to the ideological camp of Russia and China…”

“I am getting the point, but…”

“Wait! A northern, Muslim military president in Nigeria, joining forces with the military leaders of Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso; configure it! Nigeria is the ‘Giant of Africa’; one of its largest economies, and the undisputed hegemon of the West African sub-region…”

“Whaaoh! The picture is getting clearer! America will never allow that…”

“But it nearly happened! That some Nigerian military officers could even conjecture it is alarming…”

“Which is the more reason Trump should deliver massive help to Nigeria…”

“The one America delivered in the past, what happened to it? Corruption, compromise, conflict of interest, and incompetence ensured that everything went down the drains. What is more, the USA and the entire West now face existential threat to their economic and political interests in West Africa. I am sure you know coup can be contagious?

“Yes, which was why ECOWAS sanctioned the coupists, but instead of retracing their footsteps, those ones escalated the matter by quitting…”

“What message did that send to the US and the West? That Nigeria and ECOWAS are toothless bulldogs! It would have been better if ECOWAS had not barked at all. In the good old days of Liberia and Sierra Leone, what do you think ‘smoking gun’ Nigeria would have done?“

“Oh my! We would have wasted no time to force-feed them with Pax Nigeriana!”

“And you think the US and the West will sit idly by and watch the theatrics of the military leaders of the Sahel states, especially Ibrahim Traoro of Burkina Faso?”

“As sovereign states the Sahel states have a right to the leadership they desire…”

”On paper, yes; but in the realpolitik of the international political system as we have it today, strong nations have their way while weak nations suffer their fate”

“There is a new dimension to the matter. With China and Russia backing the Sahel states, the West African sub-region may soon become the theatre of war between the superpowers…”

“In that event, the US needs a military base close to the theatre of war…”

“Will Nigeria offer one? “

“If Nigeria does not, splinter-nations from Nigeria will…”

‘”You mean it can get that serious? “

“Oh! So you think it is a laughing matter? The US predicted that NIgeria would disintegrate 10 years ago. The likelihood is that they have been on the drawing board since then, biding their time…“

“And you think the time is ripe for them to strike now? “

“Something like it! Biafrans want to go; Yoruba want to exit; the Middle Belt is tired of Arewa; even the Hausa want to overthrow Fulani suzerainty…”

“So what you are saying is that it is no longer a question of whether but when…”

”And also of how: Czechoslovakia or Yugoslavia? America’s core interests are two-fold: To prevent the contagion of military coups spreading to Nigeria; and to grab a launch pad to reverse what it sees as the madness of the Sahel states. Other reasons are mere addendums”

Also read: Empowering Justice for All: Governor Aiyedatiwa’s Role as Ambassador of the Rule of Law

“Complex; so complex! Looked at closely, isn’t it Buhari’s CPC (Congress of Progressive Change) that has brought Trump’s CPC (Country of Particular Concern) upon us in this country?”

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Parliamentary oversight or coordinated smear? The unprocedural attack on NNPCL’s Dr. Mumuni Dagazau

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 By Jibrin Ateba — The oversight responsibilities of the National Assembly are vital to constitutional governance, as firmly anchored in Section 88 of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended).

Also read: Rotary Urged To Prioritise Lasting Partnerships In West Africa

This provision empowers each chamber of the National Assembly to order investigations into any matter within its legislative competence, as well as the conduct of any person, authority, ministry, or government department entrusted with executing laws or administering public funds.

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Furthermore, Section 62 provides the explicit constitutional foundation for establishing specialized committees, most notably the Committee on Public Petitions, to systematically receive, review, and investigate genuine citizen grievances.

To ensure these powers are exercised with order, discipline, and fairness, the legislature operates under clear Standing Orders formulated pursuant to Sections 60 and 101 of the Constitution.

While derived broadly from the investigative powers in Sections 88 and 128, the specific mechanisms, rules, and mandatory steps for receiving, vetting, hearing, and acting upon public petitions are meticulously detailed within these Standing Orders.

Having established this statutory background, it is essential to emphasize a fundamental principle: the constitutional mandate to receive and investigate petitions is an instrument of public accountability, not a weapon for personal vendettas, political witch-hunts, or legislative leverage.

It is within this context that the recent actions of the House of Representatives Committee on Petroleum Resources (Downstream) must be critically examined.

Its Chairman, Hon. Ikenga Ugochinyere Imo, disclosed at the House Committee Downstream Week that his committee had received a petition alleging money laundering and abuse of office against the Executive Vice President of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, Dr. Mumuni Dagazau.

A rigorous examination of this public disclosure reveals a glaring departure from standard parliamentary practice.

This entire affair bears all the hallmarks of a orchestrated campaign driven by deep-seated malice; a desperate attempt to smear the character of public officers who have steadfastly refused to cow to covert blackmail or compromise their official responsibilities.

If this petition possesses any legitimate substance, why did the Committee Chairman fail to reveal the identity of the petitioner? Going public with an unverified, anonymous document without first conducting a preliminary administrative inquiry, establishing a prima facie case, or according Dr. Dagazau his fundamental constitutional right to a fair hearing is deeply troubling.

By disclosing to the press with unbacked claims, the committee has bypassed established legislative protocol and effectively subjected an officer to a trial by media.

In doing so, the committee risks allowing itself to be used as a proxy for disgruntled elements seeking to undermine ongoing reforms in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

These interested parties appear unable to accept that the NNPC Limited of today operates under an entirely different paradigm from the NNPC Limited of the past. Under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), NNPC Limited is driven by financial prudence, corporate accountability, and strict integrity.

The days when public institutions could be coerced into handing out unearned benefits are over. Those who believe they can resort to character assassination to extract personal gain or force compliance will find that their blackmail falls on deaf ears.

Furthermore, the backdrop against which these remarks were made renders the Chairman’s comment even more disappointing.

At a major legislative gathering such as the “House Committee Downstream Week” a platform designed specifically to evaluate the health, security, and growth of Nigeria’s energy sector; the clear expectation of stakeholders, industry experts, and the general public was a forward-looking, substantive engagement.

National interest demanded that the committee focus its spotlight on critical industry dynamics: tracking progress made in local refining capacity, addressing persistent supply and bottlenecks, tackling crude oil theft, and formulating actionable legislative solutions to lower energy costs for everyday Nigerians.

Instead of seizing this vital platform to offer strategic direction and policy support, Hon. Ugochinyere Ikenga chose to reduce a high-level public gathering to a arena for personal attacks and unverified slurs against an executive officer.

Diverting public focus away from pressingly urgent structural challenges in the downstream sector to launch an unprovoked, uninvestigated attack on Dr. Mumuni Dagazau represents a severe misplacement of priorities.

It undermines the very essence of parliamentary responsibility, substituting constructive legislative leadership with sensationalism and targeted distraction at a time when the nation desperately needs solutions, not political theater.

While Dr. Dagazau reserves all legal rights to protect his hard-earned reputation against defamatory attacks and coordinated character assassination, the leadership of the House of Representatives should be urged to step in.

Also read: Rotary Urged To Prioritise Lasting Partnerships In West Africa

The National Assembly must protect the dignity of the parliament by ensuring that committee oversight remains grounded in fairness, thoroughness, and due process, rather than public spectacles driven by unverified petitions.

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Rotary Urged To Prioritise Lasting Partnerships In West Africa

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Writer Ehi Braimah has called on Rotary clubs across West Africa to prioritise lasting partnerships over short-term projects as the region prepares for the 2026 West Africa Project Fair.

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The Fair, hosted by Rotary International Districts 9111 and 9112, is scheduled to hold from November 10 to 17 at the Balmoral Convention Centre, Sheraton Hotel, Ikeja, Lagos.

It will be flagged off by Rotary International President Olayinka Babalola and is expected to draw clubs, Rotarians, Rotaractors and international partners from nine districts across the region.

Braimah noted that the theme, “Partnerships for Lasting Impact,” reflects a shift from simply launching projects to ensuring that interventions continue to serve communities long after commissioning.

He argued that many development challenges in West Africa — including healthcare, education, water, sanitation, food security and environmental issues — transcend national borders and require collaborative solutions.

According to him, a common weakness in development work is the “project mentality,” where attention focuses on starting and completing initiatives rather than guaranteeing their long-term usefulness.

Braimah stressed that true partnerships go beyond sponsorship. They involve shared responsibility, technical expertise, institutional support, monitoring and local ownership.

He said the Project Fair offers a marketplace for clubs seeking funding or technical help to connect with partners who can provide resources, knowledge or institutional backing.

The column concluded that lasting impact is achieved when Rotary’s community presence is combined with the strengths of governments, businesses and development organisations, creating solutions that communities can sustain.

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Columnist Questions Future Of Tinubu Coastal Highway

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Columnist Ikeddy Isiguzo has raised fresh questions about the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway project and President Bola Tinubu’s second-term campaign strategy.

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In his latest piece, Isiguzo criticised what he described as inconsistencies in explanations offered by Works Minister David Umahi regarding changes to the multi-billion-dollar highway.

He argued that the project, originally presented as a flagship infrastructure plan, has faced technical and financial challenges that were not adequately addressed at the outset.

Isiguzo recalled earlier concerns he raised in 2024 about the absence of detailed technical designs, environmental assessments and competitive bidding processes.

He also commented on the political dimensions of the project, noting recent statements by the minister linking adjustments to the route with presidential directives.

Turning to the 2027 elections, the columnist suggested that President Tinubu appears reluctant to campaign extensively across the country, preferring to rely on party structures and selected regional appearances.

Isiguzo listed proposed campaign locations and questioned the exclusion of certain states, interpreting the itinerary as a sign of limited political confidence.

He further criticised the ruling party’s internal dynamics, including competition among senior figures for future positions.

The column concluded with a brief reference to recent comments by the Edo State APC chairman on Peter Obi, describing them as extreme.

Isiguzo’s article continues his pattern of sharp commentary on governance and infrastructure under the current administration.

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