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2027: INEC’s Coup Against Dapo Abiodun

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Dapo Abiodun

Dapo Abiodun Senate ambition draws criticism as political commentary questions leadership record and electoral value ahead of 2027 contests

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I have never been tired of telling people that the best education I had was acquired during my A’ Level years in the 80s.

Also read: LG autonomy in Ogun state: Will governor Dapo Abiodun finally credit local government allocations directly amid nulge’s ultimatum?

It was my first exposure to maturity and discernment, the age of consciousness when I started living on my own terms and could define why I do certain things.

One of my subject combinations was economics and the subject in which I had a Distinction at my school certificate level was expanded into three complex learnings handled by three different teachers.

This was when I was able to unilaterally and psychologically summarize the whole subject area which we have of then defined as the “social science which deals with human behavior in relation to ends and scarce means with alternative uses”.

Economics is simply about “Choices” or decisions that we make among “alternatives”; where the Opportunity Costs are about what we forego or a decision that we “refused” to make.

In later years, I have had to make practical decisions on my own from a B-Cost factor perspective; in making several choices on the basis “of what Benefit and at what Costs”.

This decision making process has proven to be beneficial at all critical crossroads.

The Independent National Electoral Commission appears to have carried out an administrative coup against so many politicians who have come unprepared, with a rescheduled time table which abridged the grace period and lifespan of some outgoing Governors, including that of Mr. Dapo Abiodun of Ogun State.

Mr. Abiodun is touted among the list of those eyeing a transition from Governor to Senate (though one would have thought a serious and truly hardworking Governor would wish to be allowed to rest on a Leave of absence after the 8 years exertion).

It is therefore important to X-ray this chance in case it is true, using the B-Cost factor lens. What are the “Benefits” that Mr. Abiodun brings to the table, and at what “Costs” to Mr. President, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu, to the people of Ogun State; and to the people of Ogun East Senatorial District where he hopes to represent.

In 2019, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed stood firmly on the side of Dapo Abiodun to pick the APC party ticket and was also for him all through the general elections.

The simple narrative was that a lot of heads combined to “assist” Dapo Abiodun win with a paltry 19,000 votes margin. How did he pay back the President?

The whole narrative of the 2023 elections was summarized in the “Eleyi” sobriquets, where he openly canvased, mocked and disrespected Asiwaju in the Primaries.

He sang denigrating songs before the Ogun State Delegates in Abuja to mock the man who gave all in his power to support Dapo Abiodun to become the Governor.

Even during the Presidential elections, he traded off the victory of Asiwaju in his polling unit (where he personally voted) and in his entire Iperu Ward.

Money allegedly released to him to support security operations and as honorarium to traditional rulers that received Asiwaju in audience at the Cultural Centre in Abeokuta before the elections remains unpaid till this moment, only to keep those for his own re-election two weeks later.

But as Karma will have it, Dapo Abiodun himself lost his 2023 Governorship elections, especially in his Senatorial District and was again “assisted” mainly through the legal process.

It is clear that someone who was assisted to win elections in two consecutive circles has no particular values to add to the re-election of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. On the contrary, his plan was to lurk under the shadow of the President’s popularity to worm his way into the Senate.

The question then is, can the President carry a political liability into the next phase of contest where he needs to get the maximum votes that he can get.

The reason for the lack of lustre Dapo Abiodun’s performance during the 2023 elections was basically in the universe of values, a disconnect from the people.

Mr. Abiodun’s government and economic policies target only Mr. Abiodun and no one else. Projects benefit only him and his circle of cronies (not more than two).

Appointments were given as a charity and usually at the last minute for political expediency.

People who were appointed don’t even get to see him, he doesn’t pick their calls, no cabinet meetings because he feels he does not need them, they do not occupy any space in his political trajectory.

The people were appointed only to say “Thank You” because there is no work for them except to fill up blank spaces some according the law, and others just for the optics.

With this kind of mindset and motive, win or lose at the Primaries, Dapo Abiodun has no more need of all these people.

For someone who had lost two previous elections, the next contest is not considered from a test of popularity but of potential manipulation to ride on the crest of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s popularity and not on his own.

So, he does not need any worker to mobilise public support for him but a handful of men, especially through INEC who can execute the manipulation and they will also be discarded after the ballots.

Procurement has been his political template. Those elders that have been on monthly payrolls would have outlived their relevance and the tap will be closed.

The Leaderships of the transport unions that he patronised all through would have expired in their usefulness and all that would be left is to appoint some last minute undertakers to consolidate on his own economic benefits derivable from that venture.

The party leaderships have no place in Dapo Abiodun’s next agenda with or without a ticket in his hands. As a Governor, he had the opportunity of putting thousands of people to work, as a Senator, he can only appoint six trusted people as Aides. Dapo Abiodun’s brand of politics is not of populism or popularity, but strictly a business affair.

With INEC’s new time table however, Dapo Abiodun has just about sixty days to play the “nice man” card. He will pick calls and hold meetings in the next 60 days; he will pretend to be a listening Governor; he will be less caustic; he will be jovial and gentle even to the most stupid ideas, after all it is just a matter of time.

The carnival will soon be over. Worse still, once he loses the ticket, he will make hell for those who collect money from him and fail to deliver their Constituencies as he had done in the past when he lost the Ogun East Senatorial ticket and in subsequent elections when he went after those who collected money from him during the election process.

For those singing Dapo Abiodun’s Hosanna today, their Hallelujah has been muffled within the next 60 days of a sprint run.

The Rule of Epicharmus suggests knowing how has treated another person before, Dapo Abiodun is not that kind of leader who needs the crowd, he is sufficient only in himself and his epicurean lifestyle.

Also readEDITORIAL: Governor Dapo Abiodun’s Politics of Vindictiveness Is Tearing Ogun Apart

He can never any people’s choice but an Opportunity Cost and an alternative forgone in any political process.

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Zamfara Governor, Dauda Lawal Shakes Up Cabinet, Moves Budget Commissioner to Education

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Dauda Lawal cabinet reshuffle Zamfara sees key commissioner redeployments aimed at strengthening governance and improving service delivery across ministries (more…)

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Rescue Mission 2.0: Why Zamfara Must Return Governor Dauda Lawal in 2027

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Oladapo Sofowora

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The scorching sun rises over Gusau, Zamfara State, casting golden rays of light on a city that once knew only bleak shadows. Construction cranes, heavy-duty lifting machines adorn the skyline like mechanical giraffes, their arms dangling gracefully as they lift heavy steel and pour concrete into place. The rhythmic sound of hammers, rammers, and drilling machines, and the steady hum of generators fill the air; the unmistakable symphony of a state being reborn becomes all too visible. This is the vivid picture of the Zamfara of today made possible by the Chief Rescuer; Governor Dauda Lawal. As Machiavelli said; “Whoever wishes to foresee the future must consult the past; for human events ever resemble those of preceding times.” But to understand where it is going, one must first understand where it has been.

Just over three years ago, Zamfara State was bleeding dry from every deep cut one can ever imagine. Schools were roofless shells where children sat on bare floors, their dreams of education slowly suffocating under the weight of total neglect. Hospitals were little more than abandoned buildings, their empty beds and peeling paint serving as grim monuments to a government that had abandoned its people. Bandits roamed freely across the state, burning villages, kidnapping children and killing with sheer impunity. Civil servants hadn’t been paid in months and retirees from as far back as 2011 were still waiting for their hard-earned gratuities. Clean portable water became a luxury. There was no ray of hope in the distance. Zamfara had become a byword for failure, poor, a cautionary tale whispered across Nigeria about what happens when governance collapses. Like the true messiah, God’s gift to the state Governor Dauda Lawal came into the picture to rewrite the story of the state.

When he took office on May 29, 2023, Governor Lawal inherited a state in ruins, people in despair and a system that had ceased to function. But rather than tiptoe around the crisis by offering empty promises, he knew he couldn’t keep, he did something unprecedented. He declared states of emergency on all aspects of the nonfunctional state. On November 14, 2023, he declared a State of Emergency in Education. On January 30, 2024, he declared a State of Emergency in Health. Some called it drastic. He called it the necessary action.

Across the length and breadth of Zamfara State, a revolution began. In the dusty villages of Bukkuyum, in the crowded neighbourhoods of Gusau, in the remote hamlets of Maru and Anka, the governor’s rescue mission began to take shape. Over eight hundred schools have been rebuilt or renovated, their fresh paint and new roofs standing as defiant statements that education matters in Zamfara. The Adolescent Girls Initiative for Learning and Empowerment project alone has renovated 174 schools in its first phase, with forty more already approved for intervention. Solar-powered boreholes now provide clean water in 115 schools, liberating children from the burden of walking miles to fetch water before class. Seven hundred and fifty new toilet units have been constructed, restoring dignity to students who once had no choice but to relieve themselves in the open. Nearly ten thousand three-seater desks have been provided to children who once sat on cold, hard floors. When his administration discovered that WAEC results from 2018 to 2022 had been withheld because the government hadn’t paid examination fees, he authorised the immediate release of N1.4 billion to clear those debts. Results were released. Futures were restored. Young people who had given up on their dreams of higher education suddenly saw those dreams within reach again. NECO fees were paid for every public-school candidate. Children who had been written off by a failed system were given a second chance.

No achievement has resonated more deeply with Zamfara’s people than the governor’s handling of security. For years, bandits held the state hostage, their reign of terror so complete that entire communities were reduced to ghost towns. Villages burned. Children were abducted from their schools, farmers deserted their farmlands and traders couldn’t trade. The government seemed powerless, reduced to negotiating with terrorists and paying ransoms that only emboldened the criminals more until Governor Lawal took a different approach stating boldly that his administration would never enter into peace deals with terrorists. “We will never negotiate with bandits. We will hunt them down. We will dismantle their networks and we will restore peace to Zamfara.” He said in one of his briefings. Reiterating his commitment to securing the lives and properties of his people as the Chief Security Officer of the State.

In a series of coordinated operations that demonstrated both strategic brilliance and unwavering resolve, security forces neutralised some of the most notorious bandit kingpins in the state and by extension the region. Habibu Sububu, the kingpin who terrorised the entire North West, was eliminated. Kachalla Ali Kawaje, who abducted students from Federal University Gusau, met his Waterloo. Kachalla Jafaru, Kachalla Barume, Yellow Sirajo, Isyaka Gwarnon Daji among others had their reign of terror ended by Governor Lawal’s administration. The governor also invested heavily in security infrastructure, handing over 140 operational vehicles to security agencies and establishing the Community Protection Guards, a volunteer force of local hunters and vigilantes who were trained, equipped and integrated into the security architecture. Weekly Security Council meetings ensured that intelligence was shared, strategies were coordinated and action was swift. For the first time in years, Zamfara’s farmers are returning to their farmland, markets are reopening and children are walking to school without fear of being attacked.

The health sector has undergone an unprecedented transformation. In Maradun, a once-neglected town where the general hospital had become a death trap with its leaky roofs, broken equipment and complete absence of medicines, the facility now stands as a modern healthcare centre where mothers give birth safely and children receive treatment for diseases that once killed them. Maradun is not an isolated case. Hospitals in Maru, Kaura Namoda, Gusau and Anka have all been renovated and upgraded with state-of-the-art equipment. Their pharmacies have been restocked as health workers are being recruited and trained to meet the teeming demands of the state. Medications are now available to the dispensed while lives are being saved daily. Governor Lawal’s vision extends beyond bricks and mortar. The Huriyya Dauda Lawal Sexual Assault Referral Centre, an initiative by the First Lady of Zamfara State; the first of its kind in Zamfara, now provides medical care, counseling and support to victims of gender-based violence. Through partnerships with UNFPA, eighty women have been trained in vocational skills, gaining economic independence and dignity.

Gusau itself is almost unrecognisable from what it was three years ago. New roads cut through the city like arteries of progress. Streetlights brighten neighbourhoods that were once dark and dangerous, where residents lived in constant fear of nighttime attacks. The JB Yakubu State Secretariat gleams with fresh paint and thorough renovations. The Sardauna Memorial Stadium has been restored to its former glory, a source of pride for a state that had forgotten what pride felt like. Clean, potable water flows from taps in communities that had been forced to drink from rivers, their children suffering from waterborne diseases that should have been eradicated decades ago. The Broadcasting Organisations of Nigeria recognised Governor Lawal as Infrastructure Governor of the Year for this transformative work, but for the governor, the award is secondary to the impact on people’s lives.

The governor also tackled the water crisis head-on, building solar-powered boreholes in five communities and constructing earth dams for irrigation. The government invested in mechanised farming and agro-processing, creating jobs and improving food security in a state where hunger had become a weapon of mass destruction. But perhaps most importantly, Governor Lawal demonstrated that governance could be efficient and accountable. He inherited a bloated bureaucracy that was draining the state’s resources without delivering services and he acted decisively, reducing ministries from twenty-eight to sixteen and permanent secretaries from forty-eight to twenty-three. The savings were redirected to the people. Four months of salary arrears were cleared for state and local government workers. Thirteen billion naira in outstanding gratuities was paid to retirees who had been waiting since 2011. Civil servants received a leave grant of ten per cent of their annual salary during Ramadan 2024, a first in Zamfara’s history.

Governor Lawal’s vision is not limited to his current term. He has unveiled a comprehensive ten-year development plan, a roadmap for Zamfara’s transformation built on six pillars: economy, infrastructure, social welfare, human capital, governance and environmental sustainability. The plan has attracted international attention and support, with representatives from the African Development Bank expressing confidence that Zamfara is poised to become a benchmark for transformative economic growth in Nigeria and across Africa. The state is harnessing its potential in agriculture and natural resources leveraging mechanised farming, agro-processing and its value chains to create more jobs, improve food security and reduce poverty-driven insecurity to ensure generational transformation.

In May 2026, APC stakeholders in Zamfara endorsed Governor Dauda Lawal as their consensus candidate for the 2027 governorship election. The endorsement was not a rubber stamp nor a political calculation, but a recognition of the governor’s unprecedented performance and the urgent need for unhindered continuity.

The rescue mission is underway, but it is far from complete. The foundations have been laid, the seeds have been planted, the first fruits have been harvested, but the harvest is not yet fully gathered. Zamfara needs time to consolidate the gains, to build on the progress, to ensure that the transformation is irreversible. Governor Lawal himself makes no apologies for seeking a second term. He has started a rescue mission where he has rebuilt over eight hundred schools, renovated hospitals, restored water, neutralised bandit kingpins, paid salaries and restored dignity. But the job is not done yet, the foundation has been laid, it’s time to build the house. The seeds have been planted, harvest needs time. The race has started, but the finish line is yet to be crossed.

The people of Zamfara have seen what is possible. They have witnessed a governor who keeps his promises, who works tirelessly, who governs with integrity and vision. They have experienced the difference between a leader who serves and a leader who rules. When they go to the polls in 2027, they will not be voting for a man. They will be voting for a shared future, continuity, progress and for Zamfara. Governor Dauda Lawal has already proven himself worthy of their trust. Now it is time for them to allow him to complete the good work he has started. The rescue mission continues; with Governor Dauda Lawal at the helm, Zamfara will continue to rise.

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Obasa Swears in Oshinowo as First Female Clerk of Lagos Assembly

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Speaker Mudashiru Obasa swears in Adenike Abolanle Oshinowo as Lagos Assembly Clerk, the first female to hold the position, while celebrating the distinguished retirement of Olalekan Onafeko.

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