Opinion
Three Years of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu: Reform, Progress and Work in Progress
Published
3 months agoon
Tinubu economic reform gains: Nigeria records progress in fiscal, infrastructure and energy reforms, with inflation and insecurity still challenging
Reform, Renewal and the Repositioning of Nigeria (2023–2026)
Also read: Chief Abiola Ogundokun Visits President-Elect, Bola Ahmed Tinubu
INTRODUCTION
On May 29, 2023, Nigerians entrusted the leadership of the nation to President Bola Ahmed Tinubu at one of the most difficult periods in Nigeria’s modern economic history.
The country faced a crippling fuel subsidy regime, mounting debt obligations, a fragmented foreign exchange market, weak investor confidence, insecurity, deteriorating infrastructure, declining industrial productivity, inflationary pressure, and severe strain on public finances.
The administration inherited an economy many analysts described as structurally weak and fiscally distressed.
Foreign exchange obligations had accumulated into billions of dollars. Fuel subsidy payments had become unsustainable. NNPCL remittances into the Federation Account had weakened significantly. States struggled financially. Local governments had little developmental impact at the grassroots. Several sectors of the economy were surviving largely through borrowing and unsustainable government intervention.
Under previous administrations, many states struggled repeatedly to pay salaries. During the Jonathan administration, over twenty-seven states reportedly faced severe salary payment challenges. Under former President Muhammadu Buhari, bailout interventions became necessary for several states, while Ways and Means financing expanded significantly as government increasingly relied on Central Bank financing to sustain the economy.
At one point, debt servicing reportedly consumed almost all federal revenues, while the country borrowed heavily to sustain fuel subsidies and recurrent obligations.
Nigeria was also operating a multiple exchange-rate system widely criticised as vulnerable to corruption, arbitrage, leakages, and unfair access to foreign exchange.
Crude oil production faced serious challenges, oil theft expanded, pipelines deteriorated, and even future crude production was reportedly committed in advance under forward-sale arrangements.
From his very first day in office, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu signalled that difficult decisions would be required to stop what many viewed as national economic bleeding.
His declaration that “fuel subsidy is gone” immediately defined the tone of an administration prepared to undertake painful but structural reforms rather than continue unsustainable economic practices.
Many observers believe the President faced two choices: either continue the old system and join the cycle of unsustainable spending, or confront the structural distortions directly.
The administration chose the more difficult path.
Three years later, Nigeria still faces major economic and security pressures, but many Nigerians, investors, development institutions, and private sector stakeholders believe the country is undergoing one of the boldest economic and institutional reform programmes since the return to democracy in 1999.
This assessment examines the administration under three broad categories:
THE BEST
Areas where reforms have produced the strongest visible structural impact.
BETTER
Areas showing major progress and positive institutional direction.
GOOD / WORK IN PROGRESS
Areas where reforms are ongoing but where Nigerians still expect deeper results and broader national impact.
THE BEST
1. Fiscal Reforms & Financial Restructuring
One of the biggest structural reforms under the administration has been the removal of fuel subsidies and the strengthening of public revenues.
The reforms significantly increased allocations to states and local governments through FAAC.
In May 2023, the final FAAC allocation under the Buhari administration was approximately ₦600 billion.
By June 2023, the first full month under President Tinubu, approximately ₦1.9 trillion reportedly entered the Federation Account, with about ₦1.2 trillion shared among the three tiers of government while substantial reserves were retained.
Average Monthly Gross FAAC Allocation to States
2023 — ₦379 billionQ1 2026 — ₦816.41 billionIncrease — +115.4%
Average allocations to the 774 local governments reportedly now exceed ₦400–₦500 billion monthly in several periods.
As a result:
States now execute larger infrastructure projects
Salary payments improved significantly
Local projects increased
Social intervention programmes expanded
Dependence on salary bailout funds reduced substantially
Today, many states are so financially stronger that several are competing to:
Build airports
Establish state airlines
Expand transportation systems
Develop industrial corridors
Upgrade healthcare and education infrastructure
Nigeria is gradually attempting to build its economy from the bottom up.
However, stronger transparency and accountability are still required.
2. Electricity Autonomy & Energy Reforms
One of the most historic constitutional reforms under the administration has been electricity autonomy for states.
Before President Tinubu, states could not independently generate, license, regulate, and fully manage electricity markets within their territories.
Today, every state now possesses greater constitutional authority to:
License electricity operators
Generate power
Regulate electricity markets
Build state electricity systems
As a result, many states are now competing among themselves to become the first to achieve stable 24-hour electricity supply.
This reform fundamentally changed electricity from being almost exclusively controlled at the federal level to becoming a shared national development responsibility.
The administration also intensified:
Rural electrification
Renewable energy projects
Transmission improvements
Metering reforms
Independent power investments
The CNG initiative also emerged as a major transportation and energy reform designed to reduce fuel costs and improve affordability.
Private sector participation expanded significantly through:
Dangote Group
BUA investments
Independent energy investors
Aliko Dangote also announced long-term electricity ambitions capable of contributing up to 20,000MW over time.
3. Oil, Gas & Refining Transformation
The oil and gas sector witnessed major restructuring.
Nigeria gradually moved away from heavy dependence on imported refined petroleum products toward becoming an emerging exporter through:
Dangote Refinery
Refinery rehabilitation
Increased local refining capacity
One of the most strategic interventions was allowing local crude transactions in naira for domestic refining support.
This policy helped reduce pressure on foreign exchange demand while supporting local refining operations.
Pipeline restoration improved significantly.
Oil theft reportedly reduced sharply through:
Enhanced surveillance
Metering reforms
Security coordination
Crude Oil Production
2023 — 1.19 million bpd2026 — 1.49 million bpdIncrease — +25%
NNPCL reforms under Mr. Bayo Ojulari introduced stronger professionalism and operational restructuring.
4. Infrastructure Revolution & Railway Expansion
The administration embarked on some of the largest infrastructure projects in modern Nigerian history.
Signature Projects
Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway
Sokoto-Badagry Super Highway
Railway modernisation projects
Federal highways and bridges
Both mega highways include future rail infrastructure integration.
Expected Benefits
Tourism growth
Coastal industrialisation
Agricultural logistics
Interstate commerce
Housing expansion
Marine economy growth
Regional integration
Between 16 and 18 states are expected to benefit directly from the Sokoto-Badagry corridor.
The administration also granted railway autonomy to states.
Before these reforms, rail transportation remained largely under exclusive federal control.
Today, states can:
Develop rail systems
Partner with investors
Expand transportation infrastructure
Lagos State is already taking major advantage of this reform through rail expansion.
Nigeria’s long-term railway master plan is expected to significantly reduce:
Transportation costs
Human movement costs
Logistics expenses
Cargo movement challenges
5. Education Revolution & Human Capital Development
One of the administration’s most transformative interventions has been in education.
Key Programmes
NELFUND
3MTT
TVET
DL4ALL
The student loan programme is increasingly viewed as a major game changer.
Many Nigerians now believe that any child can begin and complete tertiary education regardless of financial background.
JAMB applications reportedly rose significantly partly due to expanded access to educational financing.
Students in several programmes also receive monthly support stipends.
In addition:
Federal technical and vocational schools became tuition-free
Students receive upkeep support
Technical education expanded nationwide
Every state now has expanded technical and vocational opportunities through federal government interventions
The administration’s broader objective appears aimed at moving Nigeria from a purely consumption-driven economy toward industrialisation and skills-based production.
Another major achievement is industrial peace within tertiary education.
Unlike previous years marked by prolonged ASUU strikes, students who entered universities in 2023 are progressing toward graduation without nationwide disruptions.
6. Local Government Autonomy & Regional Development
One of the most historic governance reforms under the administration was direct allocation to local governments.
This reform has the potential to:
Deepen grassroots governance
Improve accountability
Expand rural infrastructure
Strengthen the micro economy
The six regional development commissions also represent deeper decentralisation of development planning.
Each geopolitical region now possesses stronger institutional platforms to coordinate:
Regional infrastructure
Economic planning
Development priorities
Strategic investments
7. Banking, Capital Market & Financial Stability
The administration introduced major banking recapitalisation reforms through the Central Bank of Nigeria.
The reforms strengthened:
Bank balance sheets
Investor confidence
Industrial financing capacity
Long-term lending potential
Nigerian Stock Market Growth
May 2023 — 52,751.432026 — 249,738.84Growth — +373%
Nigeria’s stock market became one of the strongest-performing markets globally during the period.
Foreign Reserves
2023 — Approximately $3–4 billion under severe pressure levels2026 — Approximately $48–49 billion
The administration also reportedly:
Cleared major FX backlogs
Stabilised the CBN
Reduced direct monetary financing
Cleared IMF obligations
Nigerians can increasingly use naira bank cards internationally in selected countries without relying heavily on cash dollars or pounds.
BETTER
8. Telecommunications & Digital Economy
The digital economy received major policy attention.
Major Achievements
National fibre optic backbone expansion
Rural telecom infrastructure growth
Data hosting improvements
Broadband expansion
Increased digital connectivity
Nigeria is gradually positioning itself as a major digital economy hub in Africa.
9. Aviation & Ease of Doing Business
Before 2023, several foreign airlines threatened to reduce operations due to trapped funds.
The administration cleared major obligations and restored confidence.
Aviation Improvements
More direct international flights
Aircraft leasing partnerships
Aviation maintenance investments
Airport automation reforms
Nigeria’s aviation industry is now among the fastest-growing aviation markets globally.
Ease of Doing Business Reforms
Visa-on-arrival systems
Contactless passport processing
Airport automation
Cross-border banking expansion
10. Economic Diversification
Nigeria is gradually moving away from dependence on a mono-product oil economy.
Growth sectors increasingly include:
Agriculture
Mining
Telecommunications
Manufacturing
Housing
Technology
Marine economy
Aviation
Logistics
Mining reforms attracted increasing international attention.
The administration maintains that reforms are opening doors for private enterprise to help drive Nigeria toward a one-trillion-dollar economy.
Over two million Nigerians are reportedly working directly or indirectly across federal, state, and local government infrastructure and development projects nationwide.
GOOD / WORK IN PROGRESS
11. Inflation & Cost of Living
Despite reforms, inflation and purchasing power remain major concerns.
Inflation Rate
2023 — 20.06%2026 — 15.69%
Though inflation moderation is positive, many Nigerians still face:
High food prices
Transportation costs
Energy costs
Reduced purchasing power
However, food inflation has moderated compared to peak crisis periods.
The reforms remain painful for many households.
Citizens must also recognise that stable electricity, telecommunications, and modern infrastructure require realistic pricing and sustainable investment.
12. Security Challenges
Security investments increased substantially through:
Military hardware
Surveillance systems
Intelligence coordination
Forest guards recruitment
However:
Banditry
Kidnapping
Terrorism
Organised crime
remain major national concerns.
One of the most significant security improvements recorded during the period occurred in Nigeria’s South-East region.
When President Tinubu assumed office in 2023, many parts of the region were heavily affected by insecurity, armed separatist violence, illegal militia activities, and the enforcement of sit-at-home orders every Monday.
In several areas, criminal elements and armed groups had created severe fear within communities, disrupted businesses, paralysed economic activities, and challenged state authority.
However, through increased cooperation between the Federal Government, security agencies, and South-East governors, major security operations were intensified across the region.
Several militia camps were dismantled, many suspects were arrested and prosecuted, while enforcement of illegal sit-at-home orders weakened significantly.
State governments in the region also took firmer positions by insisting that:
Markets must open
Citizens must return to work
Economic activities must continue normally
As a result, the 2025 festive season in many South-East states was widely regarded by residents and travellers as one of the safest and most economically active periods in recent years.
Many Nigerians travelled across the region by road during the Christmas and New Year celebrations with significantly improved confidence compared to previous years.
Important National Reflection
Insecurity must never be tribalised, sectionalised, politicised, or trivialised.
Nigeria’s enemies are common enemies.
Those who benefited from:
Subsidy scams
Oil theft
Foreign exchange arbitrage
Economic sabotage
Corruption networks
may naturally resist reforms threatening entrenched interests.
The administration itself survived intense political and economic pressures during the reform process.
Many Nigerians believe there is still coordinated resistance against ongoing reforms.
Yet there remains belief that the country can overcome these challenges.
RECOMMENDATIONS
To strengthen ongoing reforms and deepen national impact, the following recommendations deserve serious consideration:
1. Strengthen Local Government Transparency
Quarterly financial reports should be mandatory for all local governments
Mid-year and annual performance reports should be publicly accessible
Quarterly town hall meetings should become compulsory
Citizens should have direct access to budgets and procurement details
Monitoring and accountability systems should be strengthened
2. Expand Informal Sector Enumeration
Claims that Nigeria has over 140 million unemployed people may not fully capture the realities of Nigeria’s large informal economy.
Millions of Nigerians operate daily within informal and self-employed sectors without formal CAC registration.
These include:
Vulcanisers
Tailors
Mechanics
Food vendors
Carpenters
Electricians
Barbers
Hairdressers
Plumbers
Fishermen
Meat and fish sellers
Market traders
Kiosk operators
Phone accessory sellers
Business centre operators
Informal transport workers
Security guards in estates and private homes
Gatemen
Street and traffic vendors
Many of these citizens earn daily income and support families despite not appearing within formal employment databases.
Therefore:
Every local government should establish local economic and statistical enumeration units
Informal businesses should be properly documented
Local economic data should be updated regularly
Grassroots business activities should be integrated into national economic planning
A stronger grassroots statistical framework will improve:
Economic planning
Tax administration
SME support
Credit access
Skills development
Social intervention targeting
3. Security & Community Intelligence
While awaiting constitutional approval for state policing:
Governors should strengthen Ministries of Security
Competent Security Commissioners should be appointed
Community intelligence systems should expand
Citizens must cooperate more closely with security agencies
4. Grassroots Economic Inclusion
Local contracts should primarily benefit qualified indigenous residents of local governments.
The objective should be to ensure that:
More money circulates within communities
Local businesses grow
Youth employment expands
Micro economies become stronger
The people must directly see and feel development.
FINALLY
Three years into office, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration presents a record defined by:
Fiscal restructuring
Banking reforms
Infrastructure expansion
Energy reforms
Educational interventions
Housing expansion
Agricultural modernisation
Technology development
Capital market growth
Telecommunications expansion
Security reforms
The administration maintains that these reforms are opening doors for private enterprise to thrive while positioning Nigeria toward long-term economic transformation.
Nigeria is not yet where it desires to be.
But many Nigerians believe the country is far from where it started the journey in 2023.
There is growing belief that there is now visible light at the end of the tunnel.
Ultimately, history will judge the Tinubu years not merely by reforms announced or projects initiated, but by whether these reforms eventually translate into:
Better living standards
Lower poverty levels
Stronger institutions
Greater national unity
Sustainable prosperity
Increased employment
Social stability
The journey remains difficult, but the nation must continue navigating carefully, patiently, and collectively toward stability and prosperity.
Also read: Tinubu’s Aide Sunday Dare to Deliver TheGazelleNews’ Anniversary Lecture
Let us keep hope alive and navigate the rivers safely.

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By Nosa Osaikhuiwu,
Nigeria’s teeming population should be viewed not as a burden but as an enormous economic asset that can and must be harnessed for national economic transformation and sustainable development.
Also read: South African Businesses Struggle as Foreign Workers and Traders Leave
With a population already exceeding 200 million and projected to approach 300 million by the end of the century, Nigeria cannot afford to continue responding only to the challenges of today. We must begin implementing policies that anticipate the economic, social and employment challenges of tomorrow.
One of Nigeria’s most urgent challenges is unemployment, particularly among young people. This problem affects both graduates and the much larger segment of our population without formal education or marketable technical skills. The fundamental question, therefore, is not simply how government can create jobs, but how government can create the economic conditions under which millions of sustainable jobs can be created by the private sector.
Recognizing the Necessary Economic Reforms
Before addressing job creation, it is important to acknowledge some of the major economic reforms undertaken by the current administration.
While these policies have been unpopular in some quarters and have imposed significant hardship on households and businesses, the removal of fuel subsidies and the move toward greater alignment of foreign-exchange rates were, in my view, necessary steps toward restoring some degree of economic stability.
The manner and timing of implementation can certainly be debated. However, it is difficult to dispute that maintaining a system in which government could no longer sustainably finance fuel subsidies, while simultaneously maintaining significant distortions in the foreign-exchange market, was becoming increasingly untenable.
The immediate consequences have been severe for millions of Nigerians. Nevertheless, if these reforms are properly managed and followed by policies that stimulate production, investment and employment, Nigeria can ultimately emerge stronger.
However, some of the noise in some political quarters about reversing the fuel subsidy removal is not only disingenuous, it is playing to the gallery of public sentiments which betrays a lack of seriousness on their part.
The next phase, therefore, must be about growth, production and job creation. Manufacturing Is Essential: But Manufacturing Alone Is Not Enough
I strongly agree with the position repeatedly expressed by Nigerian industrialist Aliko Dangote that manufacturing is critical to job creation in Nigeria.
Manufacturing creates direct employment in factories, but its impact extends far beyond the factory floor. It creates demand for raw materials, transportation, logistics, warehousing, engineering, maintenance, packaging, distribution, financial services and countless other activities.
However, I would take this argument one step further, because a sustainable manufacturing industry requires demand.
A factory can produce thousands of beds, furniture sets, refrigerators, or other locally manufactured products, but production cannot continue indefinitely if consumers lack the purchasing power to buy those products. This is where government policy must become more sophisticated.
Rather than government attempting to employ everyone directly, it should create an economic environment in which production generates employment and employment generates purchasing power, which in turn creates demand for more production. That is the economic cycle Nigeria must deliberately build.
Creating a National Credit Economy
One of the most powerful instruments available to us is a properly regulated consumer and business credit system. In advanced economies, access to responsible credit has played an important role in improving living standards and expanding economic activity.
Consumers do not necessarily have to possess the full amount of money required to purchase a house, vehicle, furniture or other durable goods before making the purchase.
Properly structured credit allows them to acquire those goods today and pay over time. That creates immediate demand for manufactured products.
The manufacturer receives payment. The factory continues producing. Workers retain their jobs. Suppliers receive orders. Transporters move products.
Financial institutions earn interest. Government receives taxes. Employees spend their income elsewhere in the economy. One transaction can therefore generate an economic chain far larger than the original purchase.
The Following Steps Are Essential
- Establish a Unified National Database
Nigeria needs a comprehensive national database integrating biometric information and a unique National Identification Number for every citizen and legally resident person. A reliable identity infrastructure is fundamental to modern financial services, taxation, credit assessment, social programs and economic planning.
- Reform the Credit Bureau System
Credit bureau legislation should be strengthened and modernized, allowing banks and regulated financial institutions to play a greater role in developing a robust credit-information ecosystem, subject to strong government regulatory oversight. Every Nigerian who participates in the formal financial system should gradually develop a verifiable credit history. Good financial behavior should have benefits. Persistent default should have consequences.
- Accelerate the Transition to a Cashless Economy
Nigeria should establish a realistic but ambitious transition toward a predominantly cashless economy within 36 months. This should not be about punishing Nigerians who use cash. It should be about creating a transparent, traceable and efficient financial system that reduces the size of the informal cash economy and makes it easier to assess income, spending, creditworthiness and tax obligations.
- Gradually Restrict Excessive Cash Transactions
Government should consider progressively restricting large cash withdrawals and transactions, with appropriate exemptions for legitimate businesses and special circumstances. Such a policy must, however, be carefully designed so that it does not inadvertently harm small businesses or citizens who remain outside the formal banking system. The objective should be financial inclusion and transparency, not financial exclusion.
- Expand Consumer and Manufacturer Financing
Legislation and regulation should facilitate financing arrangements through which manufacturers can sell locally produced goods to consumers on credit while financial institutions assume and manage the repayment risk. Imagine a Nigerian family being able to purchase locally manufactured furniture, beds, household appliances or other durable goods and pay over 12, 24 or 36 months.
The manufacturer gets paid.
The consumer gets the product.
The bank earns legitimate interest.
The factory continues producing.
Workers remain employed.
And the economy expands.
This is the kind of demand-induced economic growth Nigeria should pursue.
But Credit Requires Culture Change
There is, however, a major obstacle to implementing such a system in Nigeria. Credit cannot function effectively without trust, integrity and a culture of repayment.
This brings us directly to what I have identified in my previous writings as the QUAD – four interconnected cultural problems that continue to undermine Nigeria’s development:
- Unethical behavior
- Greed
- Lack of integrity
- Permissiveness—the “Oga Abeg” culture
Too many Nigerians have historically viewed loans and government-supported credit schemes as free money that should not necessarily be repaid. That mindset must change.
If a person obtains a bank loan to purchase locally manufactured furniture, a vehicle, equipment or other goods, repayment is not optional. It is a contractual obligation. Failure to repay should affect the individual’s ability to access future financial services.
A properly integrated financial architecture should ensure that a poor credit record follows a borrower across regulated financial institutions and digital financial platforms, subject to due process and appropriate consumer protections.
Banks, fintech companies and regulated payment platforms should be able to participate in a credible national credit-information ecosystem.
But this cannot be achieved through regulation alone. Nigeria needs a massive national public-awareness campaign on the meaning of credit, contractual obligations and financial responsibility. This is another example of why economic transformation without culture change will remain incomplete.
Rethinking Youth Employment
We cannot continue producing millions of graduates who are jobless while simultaneously importing technicians and skilled workers and leaving young Nigerians without practical skills or employment opportunities.
The recent initiative by the Federal Government of Nigeria under the Tinubu/Shettima Administration to reform the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) is commendable.
However, the reform of the NYSC will be incomplete if it does not transition NYSC into a National Skills and Apprenticeship Program that will help train and equip our young men and women with skills that will help them earn a living as entrepreneurs or be gainfully employed.
Nigeria must also rethink the purpose of education. I would advocate an optional SECOND year of National Service dedicated specifically to skills acquisition and apprenticeship.
Young Nigerians could receive structured training in areas such as:
- Automobile technology and diagnostics
- Electrical installation and maintenance
- Construction management
- Fashion and design
- Collision repair and auto bodywork
- Agriculture and poultry operations
- Welding and fabrication
- Firefighting and emergency services
- Computer hardware and maintenance
- Software development
- App development
- Coding and programming
- Artificial intelligence
- Renewable energy technology
- Plumbing
- Refrigeration and air-conditioning
- Industrial maintenance
The program should be developed in partnership with private-sector employers, manufacturers, technical institutions and professional bodies.
At the end of the program, participants should receive a nationally recognized industry certification demonstrating basic professional competence.
This would transform NYSC from merely a national service program into a major national workforce-development and apprenticeship system.
The Automobile Sector Alone Offers Enormous Opportunities
Consider the automobile sector. Nigeria has millions of vehicles on the road, yet many mechanics operate without formal training. At the same time, modern vehicles are increasingly computerized and technologically sophisticated.
The mechanic of tomorrow will need to understand electronics, diagnostics, computer systems, sensors and software, not merely engines and mechanical components.
A national automotive apprenticeship program could therefore create hundreds of thousands of skilled technicians over time while reducing dependence on foreign expertise.
The same principle applies to virtually every technical occupation. Nigeria does not have a shortage of work. Nigeria has a shortage of properly organized opportunities to convert work into productive employment and enterprise.
Ethanol: Turning Agriculture into Energy and Employment
Another opportunity lies in the development of an ethanol-blended fuel program. Nigeria should seriously consider adopting a national ethanol-blending policy, potentially beginning with a 10 percent blend and progressively evaluating higher blends based on technical and economic feasibility. Such a policy could stimulate demand for cassava, maize and other suitable feedstocks.
That demand would create opportunities for farmers, agricultural aggregators, and brokers, processing companies, logistics operators, transporters, equipment suppliers and storage facilities.
The economic impact would therefore extend far beyond the ethanol plant itself. Rather than importing every unit of energy we consume, Nigeria could create a domestic agricultural-energy value chain.
With the right policies, this could generate substantial employment over time. The precise number of jobs should, of course, be determined through detailed feasibility studies, but the principle is compelling: energy policy can simultaneously become agricultural policy, industrial policy and employment policy.
Security and Employment
Nigeria’s security crisis also requires a fundamentally different approach. We need to build a much stronger human-intelligence capability at the community level.
A large national network of trained intelligence personnel could provide communities, security agencies and government with timely information about criminal activity, kidnapping networks, banditry and terrorism.
Such a program would need to be carefully structured, professionally trained, legally regulated and integrated with existing security agencies. It must not become an uncontrolled vigilante system.
The objective should be to create a professional intelligence architecture in which ordinary citizens can become an additional source of reliable information for national security.
Security itself can therefore become an area of structured employment while simultaneously strengthening the country’s ability to prevent crime.
Government Should Stop Trying to Be the Entrepreneur
Another important component of Nigeria’s economic transformation should be a gradual reduction in government’s ownership and management of commercial enterprises.
Government’s principal responsibility should be to provide:
- Clear regulations
- Infrastructure
- Security
- Efficient taxation
- Reliable identity systems
- Access to finance
- Fair competition
- Effective institutions
The private sector should increasingly be allowed to serve as the primary engine of production, innovation and employment. Government does not have to own every factory in order to create jobs. It needs to create the enabling environment in which thousands of factories can be profitably established and operated by Nigerians and investors.
Thus, I recommend that the Tinubu/Shettima Administration completely privatize the NNPCL refineries and if there no takers decommission them as they have become a source waste, fraud and abuse.
Affordable Housing as an Economic Engine
Housing provides another powerful example of demand-induced growth. Nigeria should develop long-term mortgage financing, initially targeting public servants such as police officers and members of the armed forces, with mortgage payments deducted directly from salaries.
A properly structured 10 to 15-year mortgage scheme could allow workers to acquire homes while creating demand across an enormous range of industries.
A single housing project requires:
- Cement
- Steel
- Doors and windows
- Electrical equipment
- Plumbing materials
- Tiles
- Furniture
- Roofing materials
- Engineering services
- Architects
- Surveyors
- Lawyers
- Transporters
- Laborers
- Security services
Housing finance therefore does much more than provide shelter. It creates an economic ecosystem. Once properly established and proven, such schemes could be expanded to the wider population, with government providing the regulatory framework while private financial institutions and developers provide the capital and expertise.
The Bigger Picture
Nigeria’s unemployment problem cannot be solved by government simply announcing another recruitment exercise. Nor can it be solved by distributing temporary cash transfers indefinitely.
We need to create an economic system in which people have the skills to work, businesses have the capacity to produce, consumers have the purchasing power to buy, financial institutions can responsibly provide credit, and borrowers understand that credit must be repaid.
That requires simultaneous reforms in education, finance, manufacturing, agriculture, energy, housing, security and culture.
Most importantly, it requires a change in mindset. We must move away from the belief that government is responsible for providing everything and toward a system in which government creates the conditions for citizens and businesses to become productive economic participants.
Nigeria’s population should not frighten us, but should inspire us. Two hundred million Nigerians represent two hundred million potential consumers, workers, entrepreneurs, farmers, engineers, technicians, inventors and business owners.
If properly educated, properly organized and connected to functioning markets and financial systems, this population can become one of Nigeria’s greatest economic advantages.
But population alone is not an asset. A productive population is an asset. And productivity requires skills, integrity, and access to capital, infrastructure, security and demand.
That is why Nigeria’s next economic strategy should not focus exclusively on increasing production. We must also deliberately create the purchasing power that sustains production.
The objective should be simple:
Produce more.
Buy more.
Employ more.
Earn more.
Invest more.
Produce even more.
That is the cycle of demand-induced economic growth that Nigeria must build. And ultimately, none of these reforms will be sustainable without the cultural transformation that underpins them.
Economic transformation requires culture change. Without ethics, integrity, responsibility and a rejection of the “Oga Abeg” mentality, even the best economic policies will continue to produce disappointing results.
Also read: South African Businesses Struggle as Foreign Workers and Traders Leave
Nigeria therefore needs not merely a new economic policy.
Nigeria needs a new economic culture.
Opinion
Yahaya Bello: Funding the Structure, Not the Pocket Is the Winning Formula in Kogi
Published
18 hours agoon
September 3, 2026
By Seun Oloketuyi,
Former Kogi State Governor Alhaji Yahaya Bello believes one of the biggest lessons from his political experience is that money alone does not win elections. For him, where that money is directed can make all the difference.
Also read: Gbenga Daniel Urges Stronger Security at Freedom Online 7th Annual Lecture
Bello shares this perspective in Seun Oloketuyi’s forthcoming book, How to Win an Election in Nigeria, where he reflects on the political strategy behind his electoral successes in Kogi State.
According to him, campaigns should focus less on handing money directly to voters and more on building a strong political structure capable of mobilising support at the grassroots. “Fund your structure, not the voter’s pocket,” Bello said.
He argued that last-minute cash distribution should not be mistaken for a winning strategy, stressing that genuine political strength is built long before election day.
For Bello, the people and networks supporting a candidate are more important than simply having money to spend when voting is around the corner.
His experience in Kogi, he said, showed the importance of having a well-organised structure that could translate political support into actual votes.
Bello’s reflections offer a different perspective on the role of money in Nigerian elections, particularly the difference between spending to build political strength and spending simply to influence voters at the last minute.
Also read: Gbenga Daniel Urges Stronger Security at Freedom Online 7th Annual Lecture
More of his thoughts on electoral strategy, grassroots politics and the lessons from his years in Kogi politics are featured in Seun Oloketuyi’s How to Win an Election in Nigeria, scheduled for release on September 6.
Opinion
The Zamfara Masterminds: Loyalty, Structure and the Unstoppable Engine of the 2027 APC Campaign
Published
20 hours agoon
September 3, 2026
By Adeola Agoro,
When in 2011 Abdulaziz Yari became the governorship candidate for the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) in Zamfara State just after one term of Alhaji Mahmud Aliyu Shinkafi, many political observers were not surprised.
Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal woos investors, highlights Zamfara’s economic opportunities at CEO Forum
Although Mahmud Shinkafi, former deputy governor to His Excellency Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima was one of the few deputy governors to ever be solidly supported by their former bosses to succeed them in 2007, political realignments and party shifts altered the dynamic relationship after a short while in office.
So it was no surprise when Abdulaziz Yari, a deeply loyal protégé and key political strategist of Yerima got the party ticket and won the Zamfara governorship election in April 2011.
Over the years, both Yerima and Yari have worked together to make the state a formidable political stronghold and a reference point for administrative continuity.
Unlike most states carved out of older states, which often grapple with initial structural hurdles, Zamfara State, since its creation from the old Sokoto State in October 1996 and its democratic consolidation under Senator Yerima’s pioneer executive tenure starting in 1999, has continued to stand tall and maintain a distinct, independent presence on the political map of Nigeria.
The Political Strengths of Yerima and Yari
Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima (The Godfather & Stakeholder Mobilizer): A consummate strategist and the undisputed patriarch of grassroots mobilization in Northern Nigeria, Yerima’s ability to build bridges across political, traditional and religious institutions gives him an extraordinary capacity to unite diverse interest groups and command deep-rooted loyalty at ground zero.
Senator Abdulaziz Yari (The Master Tactical Administrator & DG): A seasoned political organizer who served as ANPP State Chairman, House of Representatives member, two-term Governor of Zamfara State (2011–2019) and Chairman of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), Yari brings fierce operational discipline, tactical executive coordination and national consensus-building skills to the table.
That both men who are undisputed political gladiators are now positioned at the core of the 2027 APC Presidential Campaign Council, with His Excellency Senator Abdulaziz Yari serving as Director-General and His Excellency Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima serving as Stakeholder Mobilizer, is a masterstroke in political planning, strategic alignment and electoral organization.
To understand the political weight behind the All Progressives Congress (APC) Presidential Campaign Council, one must look at the unique narrative of Zamfara State – a political domain built on deep-rooted loyalty, strategic leadership and administrative continuity.
When the political landscape was redrawn during Nigeria’s return to democracy in 1999, Zamfara stood ready to chart its own course.
Under the executive leadership of His Excellency, Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima, the state established a distinct identity, proving that it could stand tall, independent and politically formidable on the national stage.
The Unbroken Bond
Long before stepping into executive leadership, Abdulaziz Yari had built a reputation as an exceptionally loyal party administrator and key strategist.
Throughout these roles, Yari viewed Yerima not just as a leader, but as a political mentor.
Unlike many political dynamics across the country where mentor-protégé relationships fray over time, the bond between Yerima and Yari has remained unbroken.
Their connection is built on deep-rooted mutual respect: Yari has consistently maintained absolute loyalty to his mentor, while Yerima has always respected Yari’s sharp administrative mind and organizational capacity.
A Strategic Masterstroke for 2027
Today, the inclusion of these two formidable leaders at the core of the APC Presidential Campaign Council brings that exact same spirit of loyalty, structure and strategic brilliance to the national stage.
With His Excellency, Senator Abdulaziz Yari bringing his tactical discipline, administrative efficiency and nationwide consensus-building skills to the campaign as Director-General and His Excellency, Senator Ahmed Sani Yerima deploying his legendary grassroots influence and bridge-building capabilities as Stakeholder Mobilizer, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s re-election campaign possesses an unbeatable leadership engine.
While Yari coordinates the national operational machinery as Campaign DG, Yerima engages high-level stakeholders, political blocs, traditional institutions and grassroots groups across all 36 states.
Their combined track record, vast national networks and deep popularity bring an unbeatable structural shield to the presidential campaign, guaranteeing a sweeping, decisive victory for the APC.
Also read: Governor Dauda Lawal woos investors, highlights Zamfara’s economic opportunities at CEO Forum
Their story stands as living proof that when loyalty, strength, administrative genius and mutual respect come together, political success naturally follows.
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