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FX Market Strain Persists as Naira Maintains Tight Range

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Naira

Nigeria naira exchange rate stability continues as official rates stay steady while parallel market gap reflects ongoing forex pressure

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Nigeria’s foreign exchange market continues to reflect a pattern of constrained stability, with the naira maintaining a relatively tight trading range against the United States dollar in the official window, even as underlying demand pressures persist across the economy.

Also read: Naira Surges Impressively as CBN FX Liquidity Improves

In the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), the naira has traded around ₦1,350 to ₦1,355 per dollar in recent sessions, with figures hovering near ₦1,351.59 and ₦1,350.74 in earlier trades, signalling limited volatility within the regulated segment.

This stability in the Nigeria naira exchange rate stability trend is largely supported by the Central Bank of Nigeria’s managed float system, which continues to influence pricing through periodic interventions and dollar liquidity injections aimed at smoothing market fluctuations.

However, the parallel market tells a different story, with Bureau De Change operators reporting dollar purchase rates of around ₦1,395, while selling prices range between ₦1,405 and ₦1,420 depending on location and transaction size.

The widening gap between official and unofficial markets, currently estimated at between ₦40 and over ₦60, highlights ongoing structural imbalances in foreign exchange supply and sustained demand outside formal channels.

Market analysts attribute continued pressure on the naira to strong import dependency, travel-related spending, and external financial obligations by both businesses and individuals, all of which continue to strain available dollar supply.

Nigeria’s reliance on crude oil earnings as its primary foreign exchange source also leaves the currency exposed to fluctuations in global oil revenue inflows, adding another layer of vulnerability to the exchange rate outlook.

Despite occasional periods of calm in official trading, sentiment among traders remains cautious, with expectations that the currency will remain sensitive to both domestic liquidity conditions and external economic shocks.

Also read: Pound Holds Steady Against Naira Amid Market Stability

Overall, current FX dynamics reinforce a familiar market reality: relative stability in the official window alongside persistent premiums in the parallel market, underscoring continuing pressure within Nigeria’s foreign exchange system.

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Wale Tinubu Says Nigeria’s Creativity Can Drive Exports

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Wale Tinubu says Nigeria’s creativity can become a major export industry, creating jobs, attracting foreign exchange and building sustainable businesses (more…)

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TotalEnergies, AMNI Approve $800m Ima Gas Project

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TotalEnergies and Nigerian independent energy company AMNI International have taken the Final Investment Decision on the $800 million Ima Gas Project, more than five decades after the gas field was discovered.

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The Ima Gas Project, located in shallow waters across Oil Mining Leases 112 and 117 near Bonny Island, Rivers State, is expected to begin production in 2028 and reach a plateau of 350 million cubic feet of gas per day.

The development is expected to play a major role in supplying feed gas to Nigeria LNG, with the Ima field projected to provide about one-third of the additional gas required for the ongoing Train 7 expansion.

Train 7 is expected to increase Nigeria LNG’s liquefaction capacity from 22 million tonnes per annum to 30 million tonnes per annum, strengthening Nigeria’s capacity to process and export liquefied natural gas.

The Ima field was discovered in 1973 but remained undeveloped for more than 50 years. The Final Investment Decision provides the commercial and financial basis for finally developing the long-dormant resource.

Under the development plan, TotalEnergies will operate the project with a 40 per cent interest, while AMNI will hold the remaining 60 per cent.

The field will be developed using a single offshore platform connected to Nigeria LNG’s facility on Bonny Island through a 22-kilometre pipeline.

TotalEnergies said its investment in the project is more than $600 million, while the Federal Government described the overall Final Investment Decision as an $800 million investment.

At the FID signing ceremony in Abuja, TotalEnergies Exploration and Production Nigeria Managing Director, Mathieu Bouyer, described the decision as the culmination of a development process that had stretched across several decades.

He said the project reflected increased confidence in Nigeria’s investment environment and highlighted reforms targeting the non-associated gas sector as part of the factors that helped make the development commercially viable.

President Bola Tinubu welcomed the investment, saying the project demonstrated the potential of reforms introduced to reduce the cost and time required to develop oil and gas projects.

The President said the government had introduced incentives aimed specifically at unlocking onshore and shallow-water gas projects that had remained undeveloped for years.

He said the Ima development would create opportunities for Nigerian businesses, engineers, technicians and contractors, while generating jobs, economic activity in host communities and additional export earnings.

The project is also expected to have a strong Nigerian content component. TotalEnergies said all key contractors for the development would be Nigerian companies, while about 60 per cent of the workforce during the development phase is expected to come from host communities.

The development will incorporate measures aimed at reducing emissions. TotalEnergies said the platform would receive electricity from shore, operate without routine flaring and use permanent methane detection and monitoring systems.

The Federal Government said the project is part of efforts to turn Nigeria’s large natural gas reserves into productive assets capable of supporting industrialisation, energy supply, jobs and export earnings.

Special Adviser to the President on Energy, Olu Verheijen, said the Ima development illustrated the importance of creating commercial and investment conditions that allow previously stranded resources to be developed.

The government also noted that Nigerian financial institutions arranged 77 per cent of the project’s financing, further highlighting the participation of domestic financial institutions in the development.

For Nigeria LNG, the project comes as the company continues work on the Train 7 expansion, which is designed to increase the Bonny Island plant’s liquefaction capacity and strengthen the country’s position in the global LNG market.

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Adron Homes unveils Ile-Ife housing plan ahead of Olojo 2026

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Adron Homes unveils plans for an Ile-Ife Premium Estate at the 11th Olojo Festival, linking housing development with culture and tourism (more…)

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