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Nigeria’s Forex Market Inflows fall Sharply Amid Rising Foreign Dependence

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Nigeria forex market inflows 2025 dropped 28.1% in June, exposing rising dependence on foreign investors as local dollar sources like CBN and exporters pull back

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Nigeria’s official foreign exchange market recorded a sharp drop in dollar inflows in June 2025, with total supply falling to \$4.84 billion—a 28.1 per cent decline from May’s \$6.74 billion.

Also read: Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today 6th December 2021

Data from FMDQ, analysed by Cordros Securities, shows that the reduction was driven by falling local contributions. Inflows from domestic sources dropped by 61.4 per cent to \$2.11 billion, the lowest in four months, now accounting for just 43.7 per cent of total FX inflows.

Individual contributions fell steeply by 91.6 per cent, while the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reduced its supply by 77.2 per cent. Exporters and importers also pulled back significantly, with a 74.4 per cent drop in their inflows. Non-bank corporate contributions slipped by 17.6 per cent.

Meanwhile, foreign sources of FX increased by 116.8 per cent to \$2.73 billion in June, the highest in more than two years. Analysts attribute this rise to renewed confidence among foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), driven by high interest rates and ongoing foreign exchange reforms.

“The sharp drop in local contributions, especially from the CBN and exporters, suggests that confidence among domestic actors is fragile,” said David Adonri, Vice-Chairman of Highcap Securities. “The rise in foreign inflows is mainly ‘hot money,’ which can reverse quickly.”

Since assuming office, CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso has reduced direct intervention in the forex market, favouring a market-driven exchange rate. However, the latest data shows that local players are yet to compensate for the central bank’s withdrawal.

Johnson Chukwu, Founder of Cowry Asset Management, echoed concerns about overreliance on foreign funds.

“If foreign investors perceive any risk, whether global or domestic, they will exit, putting renewed pressure on the naira,” he said.

Cordros Securities expects foreign portfolio inflows to remain strong in the near term due to attractive OMO auction rates and increased investor confidence. Still, they warned that global uncertainty or stalled reforms could jeopardise this trend.

“The lingering global trade uncertainties remain a downside risk to inflows from foreign counterparts,” their report stated.

Also read: Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today 17 November 2021

Experts say unless Nigeria strengthens domestic FX sources such as non-oil exports and diaspora remittances, the current forex strategy could prove unsustainable.

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Prof. Kareem Urges Efficient Resource Management for Nigeria’s Development

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By Daniel Oluwatobiloba Popoola

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Professor Rasaki Olufemi Kareem has identified efficient management of resources, rather than their abundance, as the key to Nigeria’s economic transformation and sustainable development.

Speaking at the first ever Inaugural Lecture of the Crescent University, Abeokuta,  titled, “Resource Efficiency Vs. Economic Development: Whither Nigeria”, the renowned economist argued that although Nigeria is richly endowed with oil, gas, solid minerals, fertile land and a rapidly growing population, millions of citizens still live in poverty because resources have not been effectively managed and deployed.

Professor Kareem, also the Deputy Vice Chancellor of the University, explained that while Resource Economics focuses on the efficient and sustainable use of scarce resources, Development Economics seeks to improve living standards, reduce poverty and promote economic growth.

According to him, resource efficiency enhances productivity, lowers production costs, stimulates innovation, protects the environment and lays the foundation for long-term development.

Professor Kareem also highlighted the phenomenon known as the Dutch Disease or Resource Curse, noting that countries blessed with abundant natural resources often fail to attain corresponding economic progress because of poor governance, corruption, weak institutions and excessive dependence on resource revenues.

“Nigeria’s challenge is not the absence of resources, but the inefficient management and utilisation of those resources,” he said.

The Professor maintained that sustainable development in Nigeria would depend largely on effective resource management, strong institutions, sound governance, investment in infrastructure, technology and human capital, consistent development policies and active community participation.

Drawing from decades of research in fisheries, agriculture, economic growth, poverty, governance, food security and climate change, Professor Kareem demonstrated that efficient resource use has a direct impact on productivity, economic growth and citizens’ welfare.

He stressed that transparency and responsibility remain indispensable to sustainable development.

“Sustainable economic development can only be achieved when resources are utilised efficiently, transparently and responsibly,” he stated.

The scholar added that resource efficiency is critical to poverty reduction, food security, job creation and the attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals.

As part of measures to reposition the economy, he recommended diversification beyond oil, stronger institutions, improved governance and a more robust anti-corruption framework.

He also advocated increased investment in agriculture and food security, greater support for research, innovation and technology, adoption of sustainable resource management practices and enhanced public awareness on the importance of resource efficiency.

Professor Kareem summed up his message with a call for a paradigm shift in the country’s development strategy.

“Nigeria’s future prosperity depends not on the abundance of its resources, but on how effectively and efficiently those resources are managed for the benefit of all citizens,” he declared.

He urged policymakers and stakeholders to embrace resource efficiency as a pathway to inclusive growth, poverty reduction, food security and sustainable national development.

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Rivers Strengthens Drive for Investor-Friendly Business Environment

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Rivers

Fubara reaffirms commitment to business-friendly reforms as Rivers State seeks to attract investment, create jobs and boost economic growth

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Kano Government Launches Urgent Crackdown on Illegal Structures

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Kano

Kano Drainage Crackdown as government halts construction and seals buildings over illegal structures blocking waterways and causing flood risk

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